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Verl vs Jahn Regensburg

Verl vs Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Verl

2–2

Jahn Regensburg

1.2Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Verl would usually take 1.2 points and Jahn Regensburg 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Verl.

Verl −0.2 pts vs chancesJahn Regensburg −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Verl vs Jahn Regensburg stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Verl

Jahn Regensburg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Verl and Jahn Regensburg ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Verl win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jahn Regensburg – Hansa Rostock prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Verl vs Jahn Regensburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Verl to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 409 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Verl Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Verl 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Jahn Regensburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jahn Regensburg 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Jahn Regensburg 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 371 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Verl vs Jahn Regensburg 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Verl vs Jahn Regensburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Verl2

Jahn Regensburg2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Verl2

Jahn Regensburg2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

151%

X22%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%	44%	56%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	44%	56%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	42%	58%	67%	33%	84%	16%
	35%	65%	64%	36%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	42%	58%
	35%	65%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	67%	33%	84%	16%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

136%

X38%

226%

1st Score

154%

X3%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-X

12%

X-2

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

2-1

9.3%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

7.0%

1-2

6.7%

1-0

6.1%

3-1

5.9%

2-0

5.9%

3-0

4.7%

3-2

4.4%

0-1

4.2%

0-0

3.3%

2-3

3.3%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Verl vs Jahn Regensburg — Recent Form

Jahn Regensburg have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table. Verl have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Jahn Regensburg

Verl

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Jahn Regensburg

2/5

Verl

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Jahn Regensburg

2/5

Verl

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Jahn Regensburg

3/5

Verl

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Jahn Regensburg

2/5

Verl

2/5

First Half Result

Jahn Regensburg

2/5

Verl

2/5

Correct Score

Jahn Regensburg

0/5

Verl

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jahn Regensburg – Hansa Rostock prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).