Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Sonnenhof Großaspach3–2
Preußen MünsterOn these chances Sonnenhof Großaspach would usually take 1.1 points and Preußen Münster 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sonnenhof Großaspach.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster stats: how the match was played
3. Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Preußen Münster had clearly more shots on target
Sonnenhof Großaspach
Preußen Münster
5
Shots on target
7
2
Big chances
0
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
2
45%
Possession
55%
Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sonnenhof Großaspach to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sonnenhof Großaspach 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sonnenhof Großaspach 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Preußen Münster 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sonnenhof Großaspach3
Preußen Münster2Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Sonnenhof Großaspach3Preußen Münster2Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 54% | 46% |
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Preußen Münster — Recent Form
Preußen Münster have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Sonnenhof Großaspach have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachBoth Teams to Score
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachFirst Half Result
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof GroßaspachCorrect Score
Preußen MünsterSonnenhof Großaspach