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Meppen vs Havelse

Meppen vs Havelse 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Robbed

Meppen drew despite more chances

Meppen

1–1

Havelse

2.9Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Meppen would usually take 2.4 points and Havelse 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Meppen.

Meppen −1.4 pts vs chancesHavelse +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Meppen vs Havelse stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Meppen had more than twice the shots on target

Meppen

Havelse

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Meppen and Havelse ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Meppen win at 71% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortuna Düsseldorf – Meppen prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Meppen vs Havelse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Meppen to win

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 296 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 291 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Meppen ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 1,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Meppen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Meppen 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Havelse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Havelse 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,563 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Meppen vs Havelse 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Meppen vs Havelse. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Meppen1

Havelse1

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Meppen1

Havelse1

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

171%

X16%

213%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	13%	87%	30%	70%	45%	55%	67%	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	13%	87%	30%	70%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	67%	33%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	10%	90%	30%	70%	54%	46%	74%	26%
	53%	47%	80%	20%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	10%	90%	30%	70%
	53%	47%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	54%	46%	74%	26%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

153%

X31%

216%

1st Score

169%

X3%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

49%

X-1

17%

X-X

2-2

X-2

2-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.5%

3-0

8.6%

2-0

8.2%

1-0

7.5%

1-1

6.9%

3-1

6.9%

1-2

4.8%

2-2

4.2%

3-2

3.6%

0-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Meppen vs Havelse — Recent Form

Meppen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Havelse have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Meppen

Havelse

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Meppen

2/5

Havelse

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Meppen

2/5

Havelse

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Meppen

1/5

Havelse

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Meppen

4/5

Havelse

1/5

First Half Result

Meppen

3/5

Havelse

1/5

Correct Score

Meppen

1/5

Havelse

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortuna Düsseldorf – Meppen prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).