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Brisbane Roar vs Auckland 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 12)

Fair result
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar

0–2

AucklandAuckland
1.0Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Brisbane Roar would usually take 1.0 points and Auckland 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Auckland.

Brisbane Roar −1.0 pts vs chancesAuckland +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Auckland had more than twice the shots on target

Brisbane Roar

Auckland

3

Shots on target

6

0

Big chances

3

3

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

2

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Brisbane Roar and Auckland ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Auckland win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Auckland – Melbourne City prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auckland to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 4,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Brisbane Roar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brisbane Roar 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,564 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Auckland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auckland 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
A-League Men - Australia
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar0
AucklandAuckland2

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

128%
X25%
248%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brisbane Roar37%63%70%30%
Auckland22%78%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brisbane Roar89%11%97%3%
Auckland79%21%92%8%

1st Half

125%
X41%
235%

1st Score

139%
X6%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

0-1

9.8%

1-2

9.7%

0-2

8.4%

1-0

7.2%

2-1

6.8%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

5.4%

1-3

5.0%

0-3

4.4%

2-0

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Auckland – Melbourne City prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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