Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 24)
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix — A-League Men Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 24 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Melbourne City-35.6% Below implied probability
Wellington Phoenix+12.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.4% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Melbourne City-11.7% Below implied probability
Wellington Phoenix+26.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Melbourne City-55.7% Below implied probability
Wellington Phoenix+18.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Melbourne City+13.5% Strongly above implied probability
Wellington Phoenix-20.5% Below implied probability
┊ 62.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Melbourne City-2.1% Near implied probability
Wellington Phoenix+28.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Wellington Phoenix hit at 50% accuracy — that's 28.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Melbourne City sit 55.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 24% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 38% | |
| X | 40% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 13% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 56% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 37% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
 | 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 24% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 38% | |
| X | 40% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 13% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 56% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 37% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix — Prediction Form & Streaks
Wellington Phoenix have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Melbourne City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Wellington Phoenix well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixBoth Teams To Score
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixFirst Half Result
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixCorrect Score
Melbourne CityWellington PhoenixMelbourne City & Wellington Phoenix Teams in Best Form
Wellington PhoenixMelbourne City