Most goals expectedour score prediction
Free AI Football Predictions & Stats Today — Our Own xG and Tracked Accuracy
Free AI football predictions for today's matches in 81 leagues, from machine-learning models and checked against real results. Next to them, the stats we calculate ourselves with our own xG model, built from each match's shot data: attack vs defence, luck check and how each league compares.
Every Pick Tracked & Verified
No other football tips site runs like this: our engine rates every game, and a pick only goes out when it clears that market’s public bar. Every pick needs a real bookmaker price of at least 1.25, and that price has to pass our fair odd check — overpriced odds get dropped. The odds are locked the moment we publish. And every pick settles as won, lost or void on the public record — nothing hidden, nothing deleted.
Browse today’s free football tips, back the bet of the day, grab one of today’s ready-made accumulators or read how our AI football predictions work.
Daily Accumulators, Settled in Public
The same engine turns its strongest daily tips into up to three ready-made accumulators every morning: a Banker Double, a Value Treble and The Longshot. Every leg has already passed the fair-odds check, the combined odd is locked the moment the ticket goes out, and every ticket — won or lost — lands on the public record below.
See today's football accumulators or check the full accumulator record with running bankroll.
Today at a glance
The matches in the next 24 hours that stand out in our score prediction, the bookmakers' odds and each team's last 10 games.
Fewest goals expectedour score prediction
Tightest gamesexpected goals, each side
Clear favouritesbookmakers, margin removed
Both teams scoringboth teams' last 10 games
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Football Betting Tips & Predictions for Today’s and Tonight’s Matches
Maghreb Fès0
Raja Casablanca0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Maghreb Fès0Raja Casablanca0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
140%
X31%
228%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 68% | 32% |
 | 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
Correct Score
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
Santos–
Flamengo–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Santos–Flamengo–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Náutico–
Novorizontino–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Náutico–Novorizontino–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Ceará–
Criciúma–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Ceará–Criciúma–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Athletico PR–
Atlético Mineiro–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Athletico PR–Atlético Mineiro–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Atlético Nacional–
Deportes Tolima–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Atlético Nacional–Deportes Tolima–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Luck check for today's teams
Teams whose points in their last 10 league games are furthest from what their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)Riding their luck3
Athletico PRvs Atlético Mineiro · Bookmakers 46% to win+5.5
+5.0
VVV-Venlovs Jong Ajax · Bookmakers 44% to win+8.5
Unlucky2
Deportes Tolimavs Atlético Nacional · Bookmakers 18% to win−6.3
−8.1
37 teams playing in the next 24 hours are outside the normal range; the 5 furthest are shown.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Last week in our leagues
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 1–Oct 8 · 122 matches in our leagues · odds: closing, margin removed- Liga BetPlaySmash-and-grab
Atlético Bucaramanga3-1
Junior FCWon with fewer chances: xG 1.1 vs 2.9
- Serie ASmash-and-grab
São Paulo1-2SantosWon with fewer chances: xG 0.9 vs 2.6
- Serie BSmash-and-grab
Athletic Club1-2
Sport RecifeWon with fewer chances: xG 1.2 vs 2.9
- Liga BetPlayUpsetDeportes Tolima0-0
Boyacá ChicóDraw at 14.4% in the closing odds
- VeikkausliigaUpset
KuPS0-1
OuluOulu won at 15.2% in the closing odds
- Liga Profesional de FútbolUpset
Atlético Tucumán2-3
Barracas CentralBarracas Central won at 15.6% in the closing odds
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →This Week’s Results vs the Odds
All our leagues · Oct 1 – 7, 2026 · 163 matches
How often each result happened in this week’s matches across our leagues, next to how often the bookmakers’ closing odds said it would. This compares the betting market with what really happened — it is not our prediction accuracy. Our picks’ own record is shown in the results bars above.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal range
Result · happened
◀ fewer −10◀ fewer than expected · −10 pts odds expected+10 more ▶+10 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
163 matches
44.2%
163 matches · odds said 44.2%
−0.1
±7.2
normal range ±7.2 pts
163 matches
25.2%
163 matches · odds said 25.3%
−0.1
±6.6
normal range ±6.6 pts
163 matches
30.7%
163 matches · odds said 30.5%
+0.2
±6.7
normal range ±6.7 pts
162 matches
56.8%
162 matches · odds said 52.7%
+4.1
±7.5
normal range ±7.5 pts
154 matches
56.5%
154 matches · odds said 53.3%
+3.2
±7.7
normal range ±7.7 pts
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
154 matches
30.5%
154 matches · odds said 31.2%
−0.7
±7.1
normal range ±7.1 pts
Home side ahead at half-time →
162 matches
37.0%
162 matches · odds said 34.0%
+3.0
±7.1
normal range ±7.1 pts
162 matches
35.8%
162 matches · odds said 40.8%
−5.0
±7.5
normal range ±7.5 pts
Away side ahead at half-time →
162 matches
27.2%
162 matches · odds said 25.2%
+2.0
±6.5
normal range ±6.5 pts
154 matches
46.1%
154 matches · odds said 45.3%
+0.8
±7.5
normal range ±7.5 pts
154 matches
33.8%
154 matches · odds said 34.2%
−0.5
±7.2
normal range ±7.2 pts
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | This week | 163 | 44.2% | 44.2% | −0.1 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
| Draws | This week | 163 | 25.2% | 25.3% | −0.1 | ±6.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | This week | 163 | 30.7% | 30.5% | +0.2 | ±6.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | This week | 162 | 56.8% | 52.7% | +4.1 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | This week | 154 | 56.5% | 53.3% | +3.2 | ±7.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | This week | 154 | 30.5% | 31.2% | −0.7 | ±7.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | This week | 162 | 37.0% | 34.0% | +3.0 | ±7.1 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | This week | 162 | 35.8% | 40.8% | −5.0 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | This week | 162 | 27.2% | 25.2% | +2.0 | ±6.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | This week | 154 | 46.1% | 45.3% | +0.8 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | This week | 154 | 33.8% | 34.2% | −0.5 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
Football Prediction Accuracy & Performance Stats
Unlike generic betting tip pages, MyGameOdds tracks prediction accuracy across leagues and markets so users can evaluate performance over time. Explore our prediction results, league accuracy tracker and prediction performance hub to see how our model performs.
What is MyGameOdds.com?
MyGameOdds.com is a football predictions and stats platform: 137,000+ fixtures analysed and over 4 million market-level predictions across 81 leagues. The 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under and Correct Score predictions come from machine-learning models; the stats around them we calculate ourselves from every match's shots, goals and odds: our own xG model (built on three seasons of shot data), attack vs defence, the luck check, league profiles and last week's smash-and-grab wins and upsets.
What sets us apart is verification. Most tipster sites ask you to take their word; we measure how accurately our predictions perform — by league and by market — and publish the results, including the misses. That transparency lets you judge our edge against real outcomes instead of marketing claims.
What You’ll Find on MyGameOdds
- Advanced Football Stats: Our own xG model, built from every match's shots (on target, off target, blocked, big chances, penalties), attack vs defence charts, the luck check (points vs chances), league profiles ranked against 60+ competitions, and last week's smash-and-grab wins and upsets, on every league and match page.
- Daily Football Predictions: Free football predictions for today’s matches with probability percentages and data-backed insights — including 1X2, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 goals and Correct Score markets.
- Picks of the Day: Verified daily football tips across nine markets — 1X2, BTTS, over/under 2.5 and 3.5 goals with a dedicated under 3.5 goals page, first half, double chance and team over 1.5 goals — every pick published at locked odds and settled on the public record.
- Bet of the Day: One pick, not a list of twenty — the engine’s strongest selection of the day, odds locked at publish, result on the record win or lose.
- Verified Tips Results: Our full track record on a public ledger — day by day, market by market, every win, loss and unit at the odds we locked. Nothing deleted, nothing edited after the whistle — check the record before you trust a single tip.
- Prediction Performance: Team-level prediction accuracy by betting market, updated daily with today's top-performing teams.
- Prediction Results: Live tracking of football prediction success rates across markets and completed matches.
- League Prediction Accuracy: Track how accurately our AI predicts outcomes league by league, based on rolling 100-match windows.
- Value Bets: Discover football bets where our AI model finds higher probability than the bookmaker odds suggest — also known as positive expected value (+EV) bets — potential value opportunities updated daily.
- Value Bet ROI Tracker: Track ROI, success rates, and edge metrics across betting markets for our value bet picks — updated across 7, 14, and 30-day windows.
- Bets to Avoid: The other side of our value model — today's overpriced odds where the bookmaker's price sits below fair value, flagged so they don't end up on your ticket.
- Football Betting Insights: Educational articles and analysis designed to improve long-term betting strategy.
- Detailed Match Forecasts: In-depth match predictions including probability models and trend analysis.
- User-Focused Design: Clear tools and structured data to help you find accurate football predictions quickly.
Which Football Leagues Do We Cover?
Our model analyses matches from more than 70 football leagues, including competitions such as the Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1, UEFA Champions League, Europa League and many other major and emerging leagues worldwide. You can explore the full list in our Football Predictions Hub. Compare them all side by side in our league stats.
Frequently Asked Questions
What stats do you calculate yourselves?
Next to the predictions, we calculate our own football stats from every match's shots, goals and odds: our own xG model (built on three seasons of shot data), attack vs defence charts, the luck check (a team's points against what its chances usually bring over its last 10 league games), league profiles, and last week's smash-and-grab wins and upsets. On the home page, Today at a glance shows the matches that stand out in the next 24 hours.
How Accurate Are Your Football Predictions?
We track football prediction accuracy live using rolling performance windows. Success rates are calculated by league and betting market based on the last 100 matches. Accuracy is updated continuously for markets including 1X2, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 goals and Correct Score. You can explore full breakdowns in our League Accuracy Tracker. While no football prediction is guaranteed, transparent performance tracking helps refine and improve our AI models.
Why MyGameOdds Stands Out
- Accurate Football Predictions: Performance-focused forecasts backed by data and measurable success rates.
- AI Football Prediction Models: Machine learning algorithms analysing match data across multiple competitions.
- Transparency & Verification: Live accuracy tracking so users can evaluate prediction performance independently.
How accurate can football predictions really be?
No model predicts football with 100% accuracy, and any site advertising 90%+ on match results is overselling. For 1X2 (home, draw or away) there are three possible outcomes, so random guessing averages about 33% — realistic data-driven models score meaningfully higher, but nowhere near 90%. Rather than ask you to trust a headline number, we publish our live success rate for every market and league: see our prediction results and league accuracy tracker and judge the model for yourself.
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