Goal-fests
9/10FC Barcelona games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 52%).
La Liga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming La Liga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 14 October 2026.
La Liga Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 9 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
59%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
64%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
24%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
La Liga 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 49%, BTTS 59%, Over/Under 2.5 66%, Over/Under 3.5 64%, correct score 24%.
La Liga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 378 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsHome fortress
Goals a match
2.78
24th of 63
xG a match
2.83
30th of 62
Corners a match
9.65
33rd of 62
Cards a match
4.66
16th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
La Liga: the stats that stand out
The La Liga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Rarely both score
2/10Getafe: both teams scored in only 2 of their last 10 (league 56%).
Fast starters
8/10Real Madrid scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Flop as favourites
1/6Athletic Club won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 56%).
Brick wall
5/10Celta de Vigo kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Rayo Vallecano scored in all of their last 10 (league 25% fail to score).
Hard to break
2/10Atlético Madrid conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for La Liga Spain
Free predictions for today's La Liga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Deportivo La Coruña–
Levante–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Deportivo La Coruña–Levante–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
147%
X26%
226%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
 | 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 64% | 36% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
Espanyol–
Atlético Madrid–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Espanyol–Atlético Madrid–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Villarreal–
Elche–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Villarreal–Elche–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Real Betis–
FC Barcelona–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Real Betis–FC Barcelona–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Valencia–
Athletic Club–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Valencia–Athletic Club–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Osasuna–
Racing Santander–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Osasuna–Racing Santander–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Celta de Vigo–
Deportivo Alavés–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Celta de Vigo–Deportivo Alavés–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Málaga–
Real Sociedad–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Málaga–Real Sociedad–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Real Madrid–
Sevilla–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Real Madrid–Sevilla–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Getafe–
Rayo Vallecano–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Getafe–Rayo Vallecano–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Levante–Athletic Club–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Levante–Athletic Club–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Deportivo Alavés–Málaga–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Deportivo Alavés–Málaga–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Rayo Vallecano–Elche–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Rayo Vallecano–Elche–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Athletic Club–Getafe–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Athletic Club–Getafe–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Sevilla–Osasuna–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Sevilla–Osasuna–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
La Liga xG: chances created and allowed
Every La Liga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLa Liga average · 1.45 xG, 1.46 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →La Liga Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in La Liga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
78 matches
44.9%
Season (78) · 44.9% vs 44.9%
Season
0.0
±10.1
30 days (28) · 42.9% vs 46.5%
30 days
−3.7
±16.7
Draws
78 matches
26.9%
Season (78) · 26.9% vs 24.3%
Season
+2.6
±9.4
30 days (28) · 25.0% vs 23.0%
30 days
+2.0
±15.4
Away wins
78 matches
28.2%
Season (78) · 28.2% vs 30.8%
Season
−2.6
±9.4
30 days (28) · 32.1% vs 30.5%
30 days
+1.7
±15.5
Over 2.5 goals
78 matches
57.7%
Season (78) · 57.7% vs 53.5%
Season
+4.2
±10.7
30 days (28) · 64.3% vs 57.0%
30 days
+7.3
±17.8
Both teams scored
78 matches
59.0%
Season (78) · 59.0% vs 52.1%
Season
+6.8
±11.0
30 days (28) · 64.3% vs 54.4%
30 days
+9.9
±18.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
78 matches
39.7%
Season (78) · 39.7% vs 32.8%
Season
+7.0
±10.0
30 days (28) · 46.4% vs 36.0%
30 days
+10.5
±17.1
Home side ahead at half-time
78 matches
29.5%
Season (78) · 29.5% vs 34.9%
Season
−5.4
±10.1
30 days (28) · 32.1% vs 36.4%
30 days
−4.3
±16.9
Level at half-time
78 matches
48.7%
Season (78) · 48.7% vs 40.1%
Season
+8.6
±10.8
30 days (28) · 39.3% vs 38.6%
30 days
+0.7
±17.9
Away side ahead at half-time
78 matches
21.8%
Season (78) · 21.8% vs 25.0%
Season
−3.2
±9.2
30 days (28) · 28.6% vs 25.0%
30 days
+3.6
±15.2
Home team scored 2+
78 matches
44.9%
Season (78) · 44.9% vs 45.4%
Season
−0.5
±10.4
30 days (28) · 46.4% vs 48.5%
30 days
−2.1
±17.3
Away team scored 2+
78 matches
39.7%
Season (78) · 39.7% vs 33.9%
Season
+5.8
±9.8
30 days (28) · 42.9% vs 35.6%
30 days
+7.3
±16.6
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 78 | 44.9% | 44.9% | 0.0 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 28 | 42.9% | 46.5% | −3.7 | ±16.7 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 78 | 26.9% | 24.3% | +2.6 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 28 | 25.0% | 23.0% | +2.0 | ±15.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 78 | 28.2% | 30.8% | −2.6 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 28 | 32.1% | 30.5% | +1.7 | ±15.5 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 78 | 57.7% | 53.5% | +4.2 | ±10.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 28 | 64.3% | 57.0% | +7.3 | ±17.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 78 | 59.0% | 52.1% | +6.8 | ±11.0 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 28 | 64.3% | 54.4% | +9.9 | ±18.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 78 | 39.7% | 32.8% | +7.0 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 28 | 46.4% | 36.0% | +10.5 | ±17.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 78 | 29.5% | 34.9% | −5.4 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 28 | 32.1% | 36.4% | −4.3 | ±16.9 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 78 | 48.7% | 40.1% | +8.6 | ±10.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 28 | 39.3% | 38.6% | +0.7 | ±17.9 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 78 | 21.8% | 25.0% | −3.2 | ±9.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 28 | 28.6% | 25.0% | +3.6 | ±15.2 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 78 | 44.9% | 45.4% | −0.5 | ±10.4 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 28 | 46.4% | 48.5% | −2.1 | ±17.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 78 | 39.7% | 33.9% | +5.8 | ±9.8 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 28 | 42.9% | 35.6% | +7.3 | ±16.6 | Normal range |
La Liga luck check: the last 10 games
La Liga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+6.7 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
Real Betis+6.7- Atlético Madrid+4.5
- Rayo VallecanoClinical · +3 goals+4.1
Unlucky3
- Athletic ClubWasteful · −5 goals−8.2
OsasunaWasteful · −4 goals−6.8
Villarreal−6.5
Points in line, but clinical: FC Barcelona (+7 goals), Levante (+4), Racing Santander (+3, 8 games), Deportivo La Coruña (+3, 8 games).
In line with their chances: Real Sociedad, Getafe, Real Madrid, Valencia, Sevilla, Deportivo Alavés, Celta de Vigo, Espanyol, Elche and Málaga.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →La Liga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 6–Oct 13 · 9 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →La Liga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  FC Barcelona | 8 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | +27 | W W W W W |
2  Atlético Madrid | 8 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | W W W W L |
3  Real Betis | 8 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | W D W W W |
4  Real Madrid | 8 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | +11 | W L W W L |
5  Sevilla | 8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | D L W W D |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About La Liga
The league profile compares La Liga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
La Liga is the top professional football league in Spain. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Segunda División. La Liga is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are the most successful clubs in La Liga history.