Fast starters
9/10Roma scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Serie A Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie A match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 8 October 2026.
Serie A Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 6 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
74%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
40%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Serie A 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 48%, BTTS 52%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 74%, correct score 14%.
Serie A stats compared with other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 370 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsAway days pay
Goals a match
2.5
49th of 63
xG a match
2.69
40th of 62
Corners a match
8.86
55th of 62
Cards a match
3.77
51st of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Serie A: the stats that stand out
The Serie A teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Always chasing
9/10Torino conceded first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Inter scored in all of their last 10 (league 31% fail to score).
Brick wall
6/10Napoli kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 31%).
Low-scoring
2/10Juventus games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Goals at both ends
7/10Sassuolo: both teams scored in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Banker as favourites
5/6Lazio won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Serie A Italy
Free predictions for today's Serie A matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Genoa–
Fiorentina–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Genoa–Fiorentina–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
141%
X27%
232%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
 | 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 60% | 40% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
Inter–
Parma–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Inter–Parma–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Napoli–
Frosinone–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Napoli–Frosinone–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Como–
Roma–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Como–Roma–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Lecce–
Bologna–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Lecce–Bologna–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Lazio–
Monza–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Lazio–Monza–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Sassuolo–
Milan–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Sassuolo–Milan–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Cagliari–
Juventus–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Cagliari–Juventus–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Atalanta–
Venezia–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Atalanta–Venezia–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Torino–
Udinese–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Torino–Udinese–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Frosinone–Sassuolo–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Frosinone–Sassuolo–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Venezia–Napoli–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Venezia–Napoli–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Bologna–Inter–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bologna–Inter–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Roma–Genoa–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Roma–Genoa–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Udinese–Lecce–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Udinese–Lecce–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Fiorentina–Como–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Fiorentina–Como–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Milan–Atalanta–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Milan–Atalanta–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Juventus–Lazio–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Juventus–Lazio–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Monza–Cagliari–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Monza–Cagliari–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Parma–Torino–Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Parma–Torino–Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Serie A attack vs defence: chances created and allowed
Every Serie A team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsSerie A average · 1.47 xG, 1.42 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Serie A Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Serie A this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
50 matches
44.0%
Season (50) · 44.0% vs 42.0%
Season
+2.0
±12.6
30 days (20) · 50.0% vs 41.9%
30 days
+8.1
±19.7
Draws
50 matches
18.0%
Season (50) · 18.0% vs 25.5%
Season
−7.5
±12.0
30 days (20) · 25.0% vs 24.8%
30 days
+0.2
±18.8
Away wins
50 matches
38.0%
Season (50) · 38.0% vs 32.5%
Season
+5.5
±12.0
30 days (20) · 25.0% vs 33.3%
30 days
−8.3
±19.1
Over 2.5 goals
50 matches
54.0%
Season (50) · 54.0% vs 50.1%
Season
+3.9
±13.7
30 days (20) · 55.0% vs 53.0%
30 days
+2.0
±21.5
Both teams scored
50 matches
58.0%
Season (50) · 58.0% vs 51.0%
Season
+7.0
±13.8
30 days (20) · 65.0% vs 52.9%
30 days
+12.1
±21.7
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
50 matches
28.0%
Season (50) · 28.0% vs 28.9%
Season
−0.9
±12.4
30 days (20) · 30.0% vs 31.6%
30 days
−1.6
±20.1
Home side ahead at half-time
50 matches
30.0%
Season (50) · 30.0% vs 32.3%
Season
−2.3
±12.4
30 days (20) · 45.0% vs 32.7%
30 days
+12.3
±19.7
Level at half-time
50 matches
44.0%
Season (50) · 44.0% vs 41.6%
Season
+2.4
±13.6
30 days (20) · 35.0% vs 40.4%
30 days
−5.4
±21.4
Away side ahead at half-time
50 matches
26.0%
Season (50) · 26.0% vs 26.2%
Season
−0.2
±11.8
30 days (20) · 20.0% vs 26.9%
30 days
−6.9
±18.7
Home team scored 2+
50 matches
46.0%
Season (50) · 46.0% vs 41.9%
Season
+4.1
±12.9
30 days (20) · 60.0% vs 43.3%
30 days
+16.7
±20.6
Away team scored 2+
50 matches
44.0%
Season (50) · 44.0% vs 34.0%
Season
+10.0
±12.5
30 days (20) · 45.0% vs 36.2%
30 days
+8.8
±20.0
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 50 | 44.0% | 42.0% | +2.0 | ±12.6 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 20 | 50.0% | 41.9% | +8.1 | ±19.7 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 50 | 18.0% | 25.5% | −7.5 | ±12.0 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 20 | 25.0% | 24.8% | +0.2 | ±18.8 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 50 | 38.0% | 32.5% | +5.5 | ±12.0 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 20 | 25.0% | 33.3% | −8.3 | ±19.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 50 | 54.0% | 50.1% | +3.9 | ±13.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 20 | 55.0% | 53.0% | +2.0 | ±21.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 50 | 58.0% | 51.0% | +7.0 | ±13.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 20 | 65.0% | 52.9% | +12.1 | ±21.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 50 | 28.0% | 28.9% | −0.9 | ±12.4 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 20 | 30.0% | 31.6% | −1.6 | ±20.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 50 | 30.0% | 32.3% | −2.3 | ±12.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 20 | 45.0% | 32.7% | +12.3 | ±19.7 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 50 | 44.0% | 41.6% | +2.4 | ±13.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 20 | 35.0% | 40.4% | −5.4 | ±21.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 50 | 26.0% | 26.2% | −0.2 | ±11.8 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 20 | 20.0% | 26.9% | −6.9 | ±18.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 50 | 46.0% | 41.9% | +4.1 | ±12.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 20 | 60.0% | 43.3% | +16.7 | ±20.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 50 | 44.0% | 34.0% | +10.0 | ±12.5 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 20 | 45.0% | 36.2% | +8.8 | ±20.0 | Normal range |
Serie A luck check: the last 10 games
Serie A teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+10.0 = 10 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck5
Cagliari+10.0
Lecce+7.8- LazioClinical · +3 goals+7.5
- RomaClinical · +6 goals+5.5
Frosinone5 of 10 games+4.9
Unlucky5
- JuventusWasteful · −8 goals−7.5
- GenoaWasteful · −4 goals−6.1
Venezia5 of 10 gamesWasteful · −3 goals−5.6
Monza5 of 10 games−4.2
Bologna−4.1
Points in line, but wasteful: Fiorentina (−4 goals), Como (−4). Clinical: Inter (+4).
In line with their chances: Parma, Napoli, Torino, Udinese, Atalanta, Milan and Sassuolo.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Serie A Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Roma | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | +11 | D W W W W |
2  Inter | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | +7 | D W W W W |
3  Lazio | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | W D W W W |
4  Cagliari | 5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | W W W L W |
5  Milan | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | W D D W W |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Serie A
The league profile compares Serie A with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
Serie A is the top professional football league in Italy. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Serie B. Serie A is known for its tactical sophistication and defensive prowess. Juventus FC is the most successful club in Serie A history, having won numerous league titles.