Serie A Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie A match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 29 October 2026.

Serie A Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 9 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

55%

Both Teams To Score

59%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

72%

First Half Result

37%

Correct Score

12%

Serie A 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 55%, BTTS 59%, Over/Under 2.5 54%, Over/Under 3.5 72%, correct score 12%.

Serie A stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 383 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Away days pay

Goals a match

2.61

40th of 63

xG a match

2.75

40th of 62

Corners a match

Pro

Cards a match

Pro

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Serie A: the stats that stand out

The Serie A teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Fast starters
Milan9/10

Milan scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Banker as favourites
Roma7/7

Roma won 7 of 7 as favourites (league 58%).

Goals at both ends
Monza7/8

Monza: both teams scored in 7 of their last 8 (league 48%).

Always chasing
Parma8/10

Parma conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Leaky
Udinese0/10

Udinese kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).

Always on the scoresheet
Lazio0/10

Lazio scored in all of their last 10 (league 30% fail to score).

Goal-fests
Torino8/10

Torino games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 50%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Serie A Italy

Free predictions for today's Serie A matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
SassuoloSassuolo2
LazioLazio6

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

133%
X27%
241%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sassuolo31%69%64%36%
Lazio26%74%58%42%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT46%54%59%41%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-2

9.0%

0-1

8.7%

2-1

7.9%

1-0

7.6%

0-0

6.7%

0-2

6.4%

2-2

6.1%

· FT
TorinoTorino1
ComoComo3

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT
RomaRoma4
CagliariCagliari2

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
ParmaParma0
UdineseUdinese0

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT
MilanMilan2
BolognaBologna4

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
VeneziaVenezia0
InterInter2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT
MonzaMonza1
NapoliNapoli4

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
GenoaGenoa2
JuventusJuventus0

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

FrosinoneFrosinone–
LecceLecce–

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

FiorentinaFiorentina–
AtalantaAtalanta–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

BolognaBologna–
MonzaMonza–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

UdineseUdinese–
RomaRoma–

Winner

2 54%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

MilanMilan–
InterInter–

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

ComoComo–
VeneziaVenezia–

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

LazioLazio–
CagliariCagliari–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

FrosinoneFrosinone–
TorinoTorino–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

LecceLecce–
GenoaGenoa–

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

JuventusJuventus–
NapoliNapoli–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

SassuoloSassuolo–
FiorentinaFiorentina–

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

AtalantaAtalanta–
ParmaParma–

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

VeneziaVenezia–
UdineseUdinese–

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

TorinoTorino–
LecceLecce–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

CagliariCagliari–
FrosinoneFrosinone–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

ParmaParma–
BolognaBologna–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

RomaRoma–
SassuoloSassuolo–

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

NapoliNapoli–
LazioLazio–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

GenoaGenoa–
MilanMilan–

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

MonzaMonza–
AtalantaAtalanta–

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

InterInter–
ComoComo–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

FiorentinaFiorentina–
JuventusJuventus–

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie A xG: chances created and allowed

Every Serie A team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsSerie A average · 1.56 xG, 1.55 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Serie A Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Serie A this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −20 odds expected+20 more ▶

Home wins

45.5%

Season (88) · 45.5% vs 41.3%Normal range
30 days (38) · 47.4% vs 40.4%Normal range

Draws

17.0%

Season (88) · 17.0% vs 25.1%Normal range
30 days (38) · 15.8% vs 24.6%Normal range

Away wins

37.5%

Season (88) · 37.5% vs 33.5%Normal range
30 days (38) · 36.8% vs 34.9%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

59.1%

Season (88) · 59.1% vs 52.0%Normal range
30 days (38) · 65.8% vs 54.4%Normal range

Both teams scored

56.8%

Season (88) · 56.8% vs 52.3%Normal range
30 days (38) · 55.3% vs 54.1%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

33.0%

Season (88) · 33.0% vs 30.7%Normal range
30 days (38) · 39.5% vs 33.0%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

36.4%

Season (88) · 36.4% vs 32.2%Normal range
30 days (38) · 44.7% vs 32.1%Normal range

Level at half-time

39.8%

Season (88) · 39.8% vs 40.9%Normal range
30 days (38) · 34.2% vs 40.0%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

23.9%

Season (88) · 23.9% vs 26.9%Normal range
30 days (38) · 21.1% vs 27.9%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

48.9%

Season (88) · 48.9% vs 42.4%Normal range
30 days (38) · 52.6% vs 43.0%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

47.7%

Season (88) · 47.7% vs 35.9%More than expected
30 days (38) · 52.6% vs 38.5%Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Away team scored 2+ 47.7% vs 35.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 65).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Serie A, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason8845.5%41.3%+4.1±9.4Normal range
Home wins30 days3847.4%40.4%+6.9±14.3Normal range
DrawsSeason8817.0%25.1%−8.1±9.0Normal range
Draws30 days3815.8%24.6%−8.8±13.6Normal range
Away winsSeason8837.5%33.5%+4.0±9.1Normal range
Away wins30 days3836.8%34.9%+1.9±14.0Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason8859.1%52.0%+7.1±10.3Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days3865.8%54.4%+11.3±15.6Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason8856.8%52.3%+4.5±10.3Normal range
Both teams scored30 days3855.3%54.1%+1.2±15.7Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason8833.0%30.7%+2.3±9.5Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days3839.5%33.0%+6.4±14.7Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason8836.4%32.2%+4.2±9.4Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days3844.7%32.1%+12.7±14.3Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason8839.8%40.9%−1.1±10.2Normal range
Level at half-time30 days3834.2%40.0%−5.8±15.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason8823.9%26.9%−3.0±8.9Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days3821.1%27.9%−6.8±13.8Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season8848.9%42.4%+6.5±9.7Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days3852.6%43.0%+9.6±14.8Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season8847.7%35.9%+11.8±9.5More than expected
Away team scored 2+30 days3852.6%38.5%+14.1±14.7Normal range

Serie A luck check: the last 10 games

Serie A teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+11.2 = 11 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck5

  • Lazio
    LazioClinical · +8 goals
    +11.2
  • Cagliari
    Cagliari
    +6.0
  • Frosinone
    Frosinone8 of 10 gamesClinical · +3 goals
    +5.7
  • Roma
    RomaClinical · +4 goals
    +4.6
  • Lecce
    Lecce
    +4.6

Unlucky3

  • Juventus
    JuventusWasteful · −6 goals
    −7.3
  • Udinese
    Udinese
    −6.1
  • Venezia
    Venezia8 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals
    −5.7

Points in line, but clinical: Torino (+5 goals).

In line with their chances: Milan, Como, Inter, Parma, Napoli, Atalanta, Sassuolo, Bologna, Genoa, Fiorentina and Monza.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Serie A last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 22–Oct 29 · 18 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Serie A Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
InterInter
92581025:10+15
W
W
W
W
D
2
LazioLazio
92581022:7+15
W
W
W
W
W
3
RomaRoma
92163023:8+15
W
D
W
D
D
4
ComoComo
92062117:8+9
W
W
W
D
L
5
MilanMilan
91853118:11+7
L
W
W
D
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

The league profile compares Serie A with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

About Serie A

Serie A is the top professional football league in Italy. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Serie B. Serie A is known for its tactical sophistication and defensive prowess. Juventus FC is the most successful club in Serie A history, having won numerous league titles.

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