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Serie A Predictions & Stats

Serie A is the top professional football league in Italy. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Serie B. Serie A is known for its tactical sophistication and defensive prowess. Juventus FC is the most successful club in Serie A history, having won numerous league titles.

Serie A Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 37 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

42.9% Implied Probability

+23.5% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

-2.2% Near implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.8% Implied Probability

-8.9% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

81%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.2% Implied Probability

+32.4% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

47%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38% Implied Probability

+23.7% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

11%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Serie A matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Serie A currently hit at 11%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Serie A betting market this season with 81% prediction accuracy — that's 32.4% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 61.2%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Serie A.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 8.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 49%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Serie A football tips.

Full Time
167%
X21%
213%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036183/mygameodds/teams/r3gxjkciei52bvvugtcq.png logo14%86%41%59%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036173/mygameodds/teams/tltvhozbqkezrdw3ugk2.png logo55%45%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT49%51%60%40%
Correct Score
1-02-02-11-13-00-03-1
13.4%12.7%9.9%9.4%7.8%7.0%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie A Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Serie A betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Lecce leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 89% accuracy (32 correct out of 36 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Serie A bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Serie A teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Serie A Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1InterInter
75%(27/36)
2RomaRoma
64%(23/36)
3NapoliNapoli
61%(22/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
CremoneseCremonese
3 in a row
InterInter
2 in a row
ParmaParma
3 in a row

Serie A Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LecceLecce
64%(23/36)
2AtalantaAtalanta
58%(21/36)
3InterInter
58%(21/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
BolognaBologna
3 in a row
InterInter
2 in a row
LazioLazio
1 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1ParmaParma
61%(22/36)
2NapoliNapoli
56%(20/36)
3LecceLecce
56%(20/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
4 in a row
BolognaBologna
3 in a row
NapoliNapoli
2 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LecceLecce
89%(32/36)
2LazioLazio
83%(30/36)
3GenoaGenoa
83%(30/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
5 in a row
JuventusJuventus
5 in a row
PisaPisa
5 in a row

Serie A First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1PisaPisa
64%(23/36)
2ParmaParma
58%(21/36)
3Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
58%(21/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
CagliariCagliari
3 in a row
PisaPisa
0 in a row
ParmaParma
0 in a row

Serie A Teams in Best Form

InterInter
W
W
D
W
W
RomaRoma
W
W
W
D
W
JuventusJuventus
W
D
D
W
W

Serie A Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
InterInter
3685274585:31+54
W
W
D
W
W
2
NapoliNapoli
3670217854:36+18
L
D
W
L
D
3
JuventusJuventus
36681911659:30+29
W
D
D
W
W
4
MilanMilan
36671910750:32+18
L
L
D
W
L
5
RomaRoma
36672141155:31+24
W
W
W
D
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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