Milan scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Serie A Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie A match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 29 October 2026.
Serie A Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 9 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
55%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
59%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
72%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
37%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
12%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Serie A 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 55%, BTTS 59%, Over/Under 2.5 54%, Over/Under 3.5 72%, correct score 12%.
Serie A stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 383 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsAway days pay
Goals a match
2.61
40th of 63
xG a match
2.75
40th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Serie A: the stats that stand out
The Serie A teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 gamesCalculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Serie A Italy
Free predictions for today's Serie A matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% | |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 59% | 41% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Winner
1 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Winner
1 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Serie A xG: chances created and allowed
Every Serie A team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsSerie A average · 1.56 xG, 1.55 xGAlast 10 games each↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)




















More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Serie A Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Serie A this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
Home wins
88 matches
45.5%
Draws
88 matches
17.0%
Away wins
88 matches
37.5%
Over 2.5 goals
88 matches
59.1%
Both teams scored
88 matches
56.8%
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
88 matches
33.0%
Home side ahead at half-time
88 matches
36.4%
Level at half-time
88 matches
39.8%
Away side ahead at half-time
88 matches
23.9%
Home team scored 2+
88 matches
48.9%
Away team scored 2+
88 matches
47.7%
Outside the normal range this season: Away team scored 2+ 47.7% vs 35.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 65).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 88 | 45.5% | 41.3% | +4.1 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 38 | 47.4% | 40.4% | +6.9 | ±14.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 88 | 17.0% | 25.1% | −8.1 | ±9.0 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 38 | 15.8% | 24.6% | −8.8 | ±13.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 88 | 37.5% | 33.5% | +4.0 | ±9.1 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 38 | 36.8% | 34.9% | +1.9 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 88 | 59.1% | 52.0% | +7.1 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 38 | 65.8% | 54.4% | +11.3 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 88 | 56.8% | 52.3% | +4.5 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 38 | 55.3% | 54.1% | +1.2 | ±15.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 88 | 33.0% | 30.7% | +2.3 | ±9.5 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 38 | 39.5% | 33.0% | +6.4 | ±14.7 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 88 | 36.4% | 32.2% | +4.2 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 38 | 44.7% | 32.1% | +12.7 | ±14.3 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 88 | 39.8% | 40.9% | −1.1 | ±10.2 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 38 | 34.2% | 40.0% | −5.8 | ±15.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 88 | 23.9% | 26.9% | −3.0 | ±8.9 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 38 | 21.1% | 27.9% | −6.8 | ±13.8 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 88 | 48.9% | 42.4% | +6.5 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 38 | 52.6% | 43.0% | +9.6 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 88 | 47.7% | 35.9% | +11.8 | ±9.5 | More than expected |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 38 | 52.6% | 38.5% | +14.1 | ±14.7 | Normal range |
Serie A luck check: the last 10 games
Serie A teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+11.2 = 11 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck5
LazioClinical · +8 goals+11.2
Cagliari+6.0
Frosinone8 of 10 gamesClinical · +3 goals+5.7
RomaClinical · +4 goals+4.6
Lecce+4.6
Unlucky3
JuventusWasteful · −6 goals−7.3
Udinese−6.1
Venezia8 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−5.7
Points in line, but clinical: Torino (+5 goals).
In line with their chances: Milan, Como, Inter, Parma, Napoli, Atalanta, Sassuolo, Bologna, Genoa, Fiorentina and Monza.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Serie A last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 22–Oct 29 · 18 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Genoa1-0
VeneziaSmash-and-grabGenoa beat Venezia 1-0 despite fewer chances (xG 0.8 vs 1.8).
Milan2-4
BolognaUpsetBookmakers gave Bologna 16.4% to win at kick-off.
Genoa2-0
JuventusUpsetBookmakers gave Genoa 18.3% to win at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Serie A Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 9 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | W W W W D |
2 | 9 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | W W W W W |
3 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | W D W D D |
4 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | W W W D L |
5 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | L W W D W |
The league profile compares Serie A with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Serie A
Serie A is the top professional football league in Italy. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Serie B. Serie A is known for its tactical sophistication and defensive prowess. Juventus FC is the most successful club in Serie A history, having won numerous league titles.