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Champions League Predictions & Stats

The UEFA Champions League is an annual club football competition organized by UEFA and contested by top-division European clubs. It is one of the most prestigious tournaments globally. The Champions League anthem, composed by Tony Britten, is iconic. Real Madrid holds the record with 15 titles. The Champions League final is one of the most-watched annual sporting events worldwide.

Champions League Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals

Full-Time Result

57%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44% Implied Probability

+29.5% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

62%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

+14.6% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

72%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+34.1% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

55%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.5% Implied Probability

-10.6% Below implied probability

First Half Result

41%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.3% Implied Probability

+7% Above implied probability

Correct Score

20%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Champions League matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Champions League currently hit at 20%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals is our strongest Champions League betting market this season with 72% prediction accuracy — that's 34.1% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 53.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 2.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Champions League.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions currently sit 10.6% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 55%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Champions League Over/Under 3.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Champions League football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Champions League

Full Time


1	36%
X	22%
2	42%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris Saint Germain	28%	72%	56%	44%
FC Bayern München	25%	75%	50%	50%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	33%	67%	46%	54%

Correct Score

1-2	1-1	2-1	2-2
9.4%	8.9%	7.1%	6.6%

Full Time


1	36%
X	22%
2	42%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	56%	44%
	25%	75%	50%	50%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	33%	67%	46%	54%

Correct Score

1-2	1-1	2-1	2-2
9.4%	8.9%	7.1%	6.6%

Full Time


1	32%
X	24%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Atlético Madrid	34%	66%	66%	34%
Arsenal	25%	75%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	0-2	2-1
10.9%	9.1%	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	32%
X	24%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	66%	34%
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	0-2	2-1
10.9%	9.1%	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Arsenal	16%	84%	44%	56%
Atlético Madrid	47%	53%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	42%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-0	0-0
11.3%	10.6%	10.1%	10.1%	6.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%
	47%	53%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	42%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-0	0-0
11.3%	10.6%	10.1%	10.1%	6.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
FC Bayern München	16%	84%	38%	62%
Paris Saint Germain	38%	62%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	27%	73%	37%	63%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	3-1	2-2
7.4%	7.4%	6.6%	6.5%	6.4%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	38%	62%
	38%	62%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	27%	73%	37%	63%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	3-1	2-2
7.4%	7.4%	6.6%	6.5%	6.4%

Full Time


1	36%
X	22%
2	42%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris Saint Germain	28%	72%	56%	44%
FC Bayern München	25%	75%	50%	50%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	33%	67%	46%	54%

Correct Score

1-2	1-1	2-1	2-2
9.4%	8.9%	7.1%	6.6%

Full Time


1	36%
X	22%
2	42%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	56%	44%
	25%	75%	50%	50%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	33%	67%	46%	54%

Correct Score

1-2	1-1	2-1	2-2
9.4%	8.9%	7.1%	6.6%

Full Time


1	32%
X	24%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Atlético Madrid	34%	66%	66%	34%
Arsenal	25%	75%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	0-2	2-1
10.9%	9.1%	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	32%
X	24%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	66%	34%
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	0-2	2-1
10.9%	9.1%	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Arsenal	16%	84%	44%	56%
Atlético Madrid	47%	53%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	42%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-0	0-0
11.3%	10.6%	10.1%	10.1%	6.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%
	47%	53%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	42%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	3-0	0-0
11.3%	10.6%	10.1%	10.1%	6.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
FC Bayern München	16%	84%	38%	62%
Paris Saint Germain	38%	62%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	27%	73%	37%	63%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	3-1	2-2
7.4%	7.4%	6.6%	6.5%	6.4%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	38%	62%
	38%	62%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	27%	73%	37%	63%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	3-1	2-2
7.4%	7.4%	6.6%	6.5%	6.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Champions League Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Champions League betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, FC Bayern München leads Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions with 92% accuracy (11 correct out of 12 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 2.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Champions League bet.

Champions League Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

FC Bayern München

83%(10/12)

Arsenal

75%(9/12)

Paris Saint Germain

57%(8/14)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

FC Bayern München

1 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

0 in a row

Atlético Madrid

1 in a row

Champions League Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Atlético Madrid

86%(12/14)

FC Bayern München

75%(9/12)

Arsenal

67%(8/12)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

FC Bayern München

2 in a row

Atlético Madrid

1 in a row

Arsenal

0 in a row

Champions League Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

FC Bayern München

92%(11/12)

Paris Saint Germain

71%(10/14)

Atlético Madrid

71%(10/14)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

FC Bayern München

5 in a row

Atlético Madrid

1 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

0 in a row

Champions League Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Arsenal

67%(8/12)

Paris Saint Germain

57%(8/14)

Atlético Madrid

36%(5/14)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Arsenal

4 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

3 in a row

Atlético Madrid

2 in a row

Champions League First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Paris Saint Germain

57%(8/14)

Arsenal

50%(6/12)

FC Bayern München

42%(5/12)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Arsenal

1 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

2 in a row

FC Bayern München

0 in a row

Champions League Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Arsenal	8	24	8	0	0	23:4	+19	W W W W W
2 FC Bayern München	8	21	7	0	1	22:8	+14	W W W L W
3 Liverpool	8	18	6	0	2	20:8	+12	W W W L W
4 Tottenham Hotspur	8	17	5	2	1	17:7	+10	W W W L W
5 FC Barcelona	8	16	5	1	2	22:14	+8	W W W L D

8th Finals

Play-off

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings