Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ligue 1 match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 24 October 2026.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2022/2023 · Round 38 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

52%

Both Teams To Score

59%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

64%

First Half Result

37%

Correct Score

9%

Ligue 1 2022/2023 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 52%, BTTS 59%, Over/Under 2.5 53%, Over/Under 3.5 64%, correct score 9%.

Ligue 1 stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 297 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Goals a match

2.83

21st of 63

xG a match

2.85

26th of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

9.54

34th of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

3.82

47th of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Ligue 1: the stats that stand out

The Ligue 1 teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Goals at both ends
Brest9/10

Brest: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 53%).

Goal-fests
Rennes9/10

Rennes games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 55%).

Leaky
Strasbourg0/10

Strasbourg kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).

Always on the scoresheet
Paris Saint Germain0/10

Paris Saint Germain scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).

Slow starters
Le Havre2/10

Le Havre scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Hard to break
Paris2/10

Paris conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Banker as favourites
Olympique Marseille5/7

Olympique Marseille won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1

Free predictions for today's Ligue 1 matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
AuxerreAuxerre1
LensLens3

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

119%
X25%
256%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Auxerre48%52%81%19%
Lens21%79%53%47%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT56%44%67%33%

Correct Score

0-1

14.1%

1-1

11.5%

0-2

11.0%

1-2

9.2%

0-0

8.9%

1-0

7.2%

0-3

6.3%

· FT
AjaccioAjaccio1
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille0

Winner

2 67%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-2 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT
LorientLorient2
StrasbourgStrasbourg1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
MonacoMonaco1
ToulouseToulouse2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT
NiceNice3
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais1

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
NantesNantes1
Angers SCOAngers SCO0

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT
BrestBrest1
RennesRennes2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain2
ClermontClermont3

Winner

1 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

· FT
TroyesTroyes1
LilleLille1

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
ReimsReims1
MontpellierMontpellier3

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT
BrestBrest1
NiceNice2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

LensLens–
ParisParis–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

MonacoMonaco–
LilleLille–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

AuxerreAuxerre–
Le MansLe Mans–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Angers SCOAngers SCO–
LorientLorient–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

RennesRennes–
StrasbourgStrasbourg–

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille–
Le HavreLe Havre–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

ToulouseToulouse–
TroyesTroyes–

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain–
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais–

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Le HavreLe Havre–
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain–

Winner

2 65%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

LilleLille–
LensLens–

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

NiceNice–
RennesRennes–

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais–
Angers SCOAngers SCO–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

LorientLorient–
BrestBrest–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

TroyesTroyes–
Le MansLe Mans–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

StrasbourgStrasbourg–
AuxerreAuxerre–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

ParisParis–
MonacoMonaco–

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille–
ToulouseToulouse–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

ToulouseToulouse–
StrasbourgStrasbourg–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 xG: chances created and allowed

Every Ligue 1 team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsLigue 1 average · 1.58 xG, 1.55 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Ligue 1 this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −25 odds expected+25 more ▶

Home wins

43.8%

Season (64) · 43.8% vs 41.4%Normal range
30 days (19) · 52.6% vs 42.3%Normal range

Draws

23.4%

Season (64) · 23.4% vs 24.2%Normal range
30 days (19) · 10.5% vs 23.8%Normal range

Away wins

32.8%

Season (64) · 32.8% vs 34.4%Normal range
30 days (19) · 36.8% vs 33.9%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

64.1%

Season (64) · 64.1% vs 57.4%Normal range
30 days (19) · 73.7% vs 59.4%Normal range

Both teams scored

64.1%

Season (64) · 64.1% vs 57.3%Normal range
30 days (19) · 73.7% vs 58.5%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

37.5%

Season (64) · 37.5% vs 35.7%Normal range
30 days (19) · 47.4% vs 37.7%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

40.6%

Season (64) · 40.6% vs 32.9%Normal range
30 days (19) · 47.4% vs 34.1%Normal range

Level at half-time

37.5%

Season (64) · 37.5% vs 39.0%Normal range
30 days (19) · 31.6% vs 38.1%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

21.9%

Season (64) · 21.9% vs 28.1%Normal range
30 days (19) · 21.1% vs 27.7%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

51.6%

Season (64) · 51.6% vs 45.8%Normal range
30 days (19) · 47.4% vs 48.0%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

43.8%

Season (64) · 43.8% vs 40.4%Normal range
30 days (19) · 47.4% vs 41.0%Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Ligue 1, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason6443.8%41.4%+2.3±11.3Normal range
Home wins30 days1952.6%42.3%+10.3±20.8Normal range
DrawsSeason6423.4%24.2%−0.8±10.4Normal range
Draws30 days1910.5%23.8%−13.3±19.0Normal range
Away winsSeason6432.8%34.4%−1.6±10.9Normal range
Away wins30 days1936.8%33.9%+2.9±20.1Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason6464.1%57.4%+6.7±12.0Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days1973.7%59.4%+14.3±21.9Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason6464.1%57.3%+6.7±12.1Normal range
Both teams scored30 days1973.7%58.5%+15.2±22.1Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason6437.5%35.7%+1.8±11.6Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days1947.4%37.7%+9.7±21.6Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason6440.6%32.9%+7.8±11.2Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days1947.4%34.1%+13.2±20.6Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason6437.5%39.0%−1.5±11.9Normal range
Level at half-time30 days1931.6%38.1%−6.6±21.8Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason6421.9%28.1%−6.2±10.7Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days1921.1%27.7%−6.7±19.5Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season6451.6%45.8%+5.8±11.7Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days1947.4%48.0%−0.7±21.5Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season6443.8%40.4%+3.3±11.5Normal range
Away team scored 2+30 days1947.4%41.0%+6.4±21.2Normal range

Ligue 1 luck check: the last 10 games

Ligue 1 teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.2 = 7 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck2

  • Auxerre
    AuxerreClinical · +5 goals
    +7.2
  • Strasbourg
    StrasbourgClinical · +6 goals
    +4.2

Unlucky3

  • Brest
    BrestWasteful · −4 goals
    −8.4
  • Le Havre
    Le HavreWasteful · −4 goals
    −4.7
  • Troyes
    Troyes7 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals
    −4.3

Points in line, but wasteful: Paris Saint Germain (−6 goals), Nice (−4), Lille (−4).

In line with their chances: Lorient, Monaco, Paris, Rennes, Olympique Lyonnais, Angers SCO, Olympique Marseille, Toulouse, Le Mans and Lens.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 17–Oct 24 · 9 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
71442113:5+8
W
L
W
D
W
2
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
71442114:9+5
W
W
W
W
L
3
ParisParis
71442112:7+5
W
L
W
D
W
4
LilleLille
71442110:5+5
D
W
L
W
W
5
MonacoMonaco
71442110:6+4
L
D
W
D
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

The league profile compares Ligue 1 with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

About Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

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