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Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 30 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

51%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.9% Implied Probability

+16.2% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

45%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

-17% Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.6% Implied Probability

+10.1% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

68%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.8% Implied Probability

+10% Above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

48%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.4% Implied Probability

+25% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

9%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 9%.

First Half Result is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 48% prediction accuracy — that's 25% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.4%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 17% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 45%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.

Full Time
160%
X20%
220%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035817/mygameodds/teams/fpqdddc6tduedpqacd8a.png logo14%86%39%61%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035818/mygameodds/teams/yerr6ssdaxjawzm76oth.png logo43%57%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT37%63%49%51%
Correct Score
2-11-11-02-03-13-0
10.1%9.1%8.7%8.7%6.7%6.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Metz leads First Half Result predictions with 59% accuracy (17 correct out of 29 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
74%(20/27)
2LensLens
71%(20/28)
3MetzMetz
66%(19/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
2 in a row
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 in a row
BrestBrest
0 in a row

Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LorientLorient
69%(20/29)
2NiceNice
62%(18/29)
3StrasbourgStrasbourg
61%(17/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
3 in a row
StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 in a row
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1StrasbourgStrasbourg
71%(20/28)
2LensLens
68%(19/28)
3MetzMetz
66%(19/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
4 in a row
LensLens
4 in a row
LilleLille
4 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Angers SCOAngers SCO
83%(24/29)
2Le HavreLe Havre
83%(24/29)
3AuxerreAuxerre
79%(23/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
5 in a row
AuxerreAuxerre
5 in a row
LorientLorient
5 in a row

Ligue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1MetzMetz
59%(17/29)
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
56%(15/27)
3Le HavreLe Havre
55%(16/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Angers SCOAngers SCO
5 in a row
LorientLorient
3 in a row
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 in a row

Ligue 1 Teams in Best Form

LilleLille
W
W
W
W
D
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
W
W
L
W
W
MonacoMonaco
L
W
W
W
W

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2763203461:23+38
W
W
L
W
W
2
LensLens
2859192754:27+27
L
W
L
W
D
3
LilleLille
2953165849:34+15
W
W
W
W
D
4
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
2952164958:38+20
W
L
L
W
W
5
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
2951156843:29+14
W
D
L
D
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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