Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ligue 1 match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 14 September 2026.
Ligue 1 Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 5 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
56%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
63%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
39%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
11%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 5 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 11%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 58% prediction accuracy — that's 7.8% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 53.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 2.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1
Monaco–
Lens–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Monaco–Lens–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 49% | 51% |
 | 30% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 46% | 54% |
Correct Score
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
Paris–
Strasbourg–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Paris–Strasbourg–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Toulouse–
Le Havre–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Toulouse–Le Havre–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Olympique Lyonnais–
Rennes–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Olympique Lyonnais–Rennes–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Le Mans–
Lorient–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Le Mans–Lorient–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Angers SCO–
Troyes–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Angers SCO–Troyes–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Auxerre–
Brest–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Auxerre–Brest–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Nice–
Lille–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Nice–Lille–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Olympique Marseille–
Paris Saint Germain–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Olympique Marseille–Paris Saint Germain–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Paris Saint Germain leads Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions with 75% accuracy (3 correct out of 4 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 2.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique Marseille
Rennes
LillePrediction Form Streaks
RennesLille
AuxerreLigue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Lens
Paris Saint GermainRennesPrediction Form Streaks
Strasbourg
Le MansLensLigue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Paris Saint GermainRennesStrasbourgPrediction Form Streaks
Auxerre
Olympique Lyonnais
NiceLigue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Nice
Le HavreMonacoPrediction Form Streaks
NiceLe HavreMonacoLigue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
ToulousePrediction Form Streaks
AuxerreOlympique LyonnaisNiceLigue 1 Teams in Best Form
LilleMonacoRennesLigue 1 Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Lille | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | W W D W |
2  Monaco | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | D W W W |
3  Rennes | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | +3 | W W W D |
4  Paris | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | D W W D |
5  Olympique Lyonnais | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | D W D W |
About Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.