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Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 34 · Regular Season

Highest Edge

Full-Time Result

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

42.8% Implied Probability

+16.8% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

-7.7% Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.8% Implied Probability

+4.1% Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

69%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.1% Implied Probability

+12.9% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

37.9% Implied Probability

-2.4% Near implied probability

Correct Score

12%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 12%.

Full-Time Result is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 50% prediction accuracy — that's 16.8% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 42.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 7.7% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1

Full Time


1	60%
X	24%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lille	18%	82%	48%	52%
Auxerre	50%	50%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	0-0	3-0
13.8%	11.5%	10.7%	9.8%	8.1%	6.2%

Full Time


1	60%
X	24%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	50%	50%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	0-0	3-0
13.8%	11.5%	10.7%	9.8%	8.1%	6.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nantes	28%	72%	60%	40%
Toulouse	27%	73%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.8%	8.8%	8.4%	8.0%	7.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	36%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	27%	73%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.8%	8.8%	8.4%	8.0%	7.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nice	21%	79%	52%	48%
Metz	40%	60%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.5%	9.5%	8.3%	6.7%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	40%	60%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.5%	9.5%	8.3%	6.7%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Olympique Marseille	18%	82%	45%	55%
Rennes	37%	63%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.1%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	37%	63%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.1%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	39%
X	25%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Olympique Lyonnais	24%	76%	54%	46%
Lens	27%	73%	57%	43%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	37%	63%	49%	51%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
10.5%	8.3%	8.0%	7.1%	6.3%

Full Time


1	39%
X	25%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	27%	73%	57%	43%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	37%	63%	49%	51%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
10.5%	8.3%	8.0%	7.1%	6.3%

Full Time


1	20%
X	20%
2	60%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris	44%	56%	74%	26%
Paris Saint Germain	15%	85%	40%	60%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	0-3
10.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	6.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	20%
X	20%
2	60%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	74%	26%
	15%	85%	40%	60%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	0-3
10.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	6.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	34%
X	23%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Strasbourg	29%	71%	61%	39%
Monaco	24%	76%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2	0-2
10.4%	9.3%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%	6.0%

Full Time


1	34%
X	23%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2	0-2
10.4%	9.3%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%	6.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brest	22%	78%	52%	48%
Angers SCO	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	9.5%	8.1%	6.8%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	9.5%	8.1%	6.8%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lorient	23%	77%	55%	45%
Le Havre	39%	61%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.6%	11.6%	9.2%	8.5%	7.9%	7.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	39%	61%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.6%	11.6%	9.2%	8.5%	7.9%	7.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	60%
X	24%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lille	18%	82%	48%	52%
Auxerre	50%	50%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	0-0	3-0
13.8%	11.5%	10.7%	9.8%	8.1%	6.2%

Full Time


1	60%
X	24%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	50%	50%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	1-1	2-1	0-0	3-0
13.8%	11.5%	10.7%	9.8%	8.1%	6.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nantes	28%	72%	60%	40%
Toulouse	27%	73%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.8%	8.8%	8.4%	8.0%	7.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	36%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	27%	73%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.8%	8.8%	8.4%	8.0%	7.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nice	21%	79%	52%	48%
Metz	40%	60%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.5%	9.5%	8.3%	6.7%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	40%	60%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.5%	9.5%	8.3%	6.7%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Olympique Marseille	18%	82%	45%	55%
Rennes	37%	63%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.1%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	37%	63%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.1%	9.6%	8.3%	7.6%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	39%
X	25%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Olympique Lyonnais	24%	76%	54%	46%
Lens	27%	73%	57%	43%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	37%	63%	49%	51%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
10.5%	8.3%	8.0%	7.1%	6.3%

Full Time


1	39%
X	25%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	27%	73%	57%	43%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	37%	63%	49%	51%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
10.5%	8.3%	8.0%	7.1%	6.3%

Full Time


1	20%
X	20%
2	60%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris	44%	56%	74%	26%
Paris Saint Germain	15%	85%	40%	60%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	0-3
10.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	6.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	20%
X	20%
2	60%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	74%	26%
	15%	85%	40%	60%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	1-1	0-1	1-3	0-3
10.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	6.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	34%
X	23%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Strasbourg	29%	71%	61%	39%
Monaco	24%	76%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2	0-2
10.4%	9.3%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%	6.0%

Full Time


1	34%
X	23%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2	0-2
10.4%	9.3%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%	6.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brest	22%	78%	52%	48%
Angers SCO	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	9.5%	8.1%	6.8%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	9.5%	8.1%	6.8%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lorient	23%	77%	55%	45%
Le Havre	39%	61%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.6%	11.6%	9.2%	8.5%	7.9%	7.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	39%	61%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.6%	11.6%	9.2%	8.5%	7.9%	7.3%	6.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Paris Saint Germain leads Full-Time Result predictions with 73% accuracy (24 correct out of 33 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Full-Time Result are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Paris Saint Germain

73%(24/33)

Lens

70%(23/33)

Metz

67%(22/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Paris

4 in a row

Rennes

3 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

2 in a row

Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lorient

67%(22/33)

Nice

64%(21/33)

Paris Saint Germain

64%(21/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Olympique Lyonnais

4 in a row

Toulouse

4 in a row

Strasbourg

4 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Strasbourg

73%(24/33)

Lens

64%(21/33)

Metz

64%(21/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lorient

3 in a row

Strasbourg

1 in a row

Toulouse

0 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Angers SCO

82%(27/33)

Le Havre

82%(27/33)

Nantes

79%(26/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Nantes

5 in a row

Nice

5 in a row

Olympique Marseille

4 in a row

Ligue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Metz

61%(20/33)

Le Havre

55%(18/33)

Paris Saint Germain

52%(17/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Metz

0 in a row

Monaco

2 in a row

Angers SCO

0 in a row

Ligue 1 Teams in Best Form

Paris Saint Germain

Olympique Lyonnais

Rennes

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain	33	76	24	4	5	73:27	+46	W W D W W
2 Lens	33	67	21	4	8	62:35	+27	L W D D W
3 Lille	33	61	18	7	8	52:35	+17	W D W D W
4 Olympique Lyonnais	33	60	18	6	9	53:36	+17	L W W W W
5 Rennes	33	59	17	8	8	58:47	+11	W L W W W