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Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ligue 1 match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 4 October 2026.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 6 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

46%

Both Teams To Score

55%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

66%

First Half Result

36%

Correct Score

10%

In the Ligue 1 2026/2027 season, our football prediction accuracy for the full-time 1X2 market stands at 46%, calculated from the AI model’s performance over the last 100 league matches. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) prediction accuracy is 55%, while Correct Score accuracy is 10%. Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions show an accuracy of 53%, and Over/Under 3.5 goals predictions stand at 66%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

Ligue 1 Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Ligue 1 this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days

Result · happened

◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶

Verdict

Home wins

45 matches

40.0%

of matches · odds said 41.0%

30 days: 46.2% vs 41.7% (26)

Season (45) · 40.0% vs 41.0%Normal range

Season

−1.0

±13.5Normal range

30 days (26) · 46.2% vs 41.7%Normal range

30 days

+4.5

±17.8Normal range

Draws

45 matches

28.9%

of matches · odds said 24.4%

30 days: 23.1% vs 23.9% (26)

Season (45) · 28.9% vs 24.4%Normal range

Season

+4.5

±12.5Normal range

30 days (26) · 23.1% vs 23.9%Normal range

30 days

−0.8

±16.3Normal range

Away wins

45 matches

31.1%

of matches · odds said 34.6%

30 days: 30.8% vs 34.5% (26)

Season (45) · 31.1% vs 34.6%Normal range

Season

−3.5

±13.0Normal range

30 days (26) · 30.8% vs 34.5%Normal range

30 days

−3.7

±17.1Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

45 matches

60.0%

of matches · odds said 56.5%

30 days: 61.5% vs 58.8% (26)

Season (45) · 60.0% vs 56.5%Normal range

Season

+3.5

±14.3Normal range

30 days (26) · 61.5% vs 58.8%Normal range

30 days

+2.8

±18.7Normal range

Both teams scored

45 matches

60.0%

of matches · odds said 56.8%

30 days: 65.4% vs 58.5% (26)

Season (45) · 60.0% vs 56.8%Normal range

Season

+3.2

±14.4Normal range

30 days (26) · 65.4% vs 58.5%Normal range

30 days

+6.9

±18.9Normal range

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

45 matches

33.3%

of matches · odds said 34.9%

30 days: 26.9% vs 37.2% (26)

Season (45) · 33.3% vs 34.9%Normal range

Season

−1.5

±13.8Normal range

30 days (26) · 26.9% vs 37.2%Normal range

30 days

−10.2

±18.4Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

45 matches

37.8%

of matches · odds said 32.3%

30 days: 42.3% vs 33.1% (26)

Season (45) · 37.8% vs 32.3%Normal range

Season

+5.4

±13.3Normal range

30 days (26) · 42.3% vs 33.1%Normal range

30 days

+9.2

±17.6Normal range

Level at half-time

45 matches

40.0%

of matches · odds said 39.4%

30 days: 34.6% vs 38.5% (26)

Season (45) · 40.0% vs 39.4%Normal range

Season

+0.6

±14.2Normal range

30 days (26) · 34.6% vs 38.5%Normal range

30 days

−3.9

±18.7Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

45 matches

22.2%

of matches · odds said 28.2%

30 days: 23.1% vs 28.4% (26)

Season (45) · 22.2% vs 28.2%Normal range

Season

−6.0

±12.8Normal range

30 days (26) · 23.1% vs 28.4%Normal range

30 days

−5.3

±16.8Normal range

Home team scored 2+

45 matches

53.3%

of matches · odds said 44.8%

30 days: 53.8% vs 47.2% (26)

Season (45) · 53.3% vs 44.8%Normal range

Season

+8.5

±14.0Normal range

30 days (26) · 53.8% vs 47.2%Normal range

30 days

+6.7

±18.5Normal range

Away team scored 2+

45 matches

42.2%

of matches · odds said 40.2%

30 days: 34.6% vs 41.4% (26)

Season (45) · 42.2% vs 40.2%Normal range

Season

+2.0

±13.7Normal range

30 days (26) · 34.6% vs 41.4%Normal range

30 days

−6.8

±18.2Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table

Ligue 1, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
Result	Period	Matches	Happened	Odds expected	Gap (pts)	Normal range (± pts)	Verdict
Home wins	Season	45	40.0%	41.0%	−1.0	±13.5	Normal range
Home wins	30 days	26	46.2%	41.7%	+4.5	±17.8	Normal range
Draws	Season	45	28.9%	24.4%	+4.5	±12.5	Normal range
Draws	30 days	26	23.1%	23.9%	−0.8	±16.3	Normal range
Away wins	Season	45	31.1%	34.6%	−3.5	±13.0	Normal range
Away wins	30 days	26	30.8%	34.5%	−3.7	±17.1	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	Season	45	60.0%	56.5%	+3.5	±14.3	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	30 days	26	61.5%	58.8%	+2.8	±18.7	Normal range
Both teams scored	Season	45	60.0%	56.8%	+3.2	±14.4	Normal range
Both teams scored	30 days	26	65.4%	58.5%	+6.9	±18.9	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	Season	45	33.3%	34.9%	−1.5	±13.8	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	30 days	26	26.9%	37.2%	−10.2	±18.4	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	Season	45	37.8%	32.3%	+5.4	±13.3	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	30 days	26	42.3%	33.1%	+9.2	±17.6	Normal range
Level at half-time	Season	45	40.0%	39.4%	+0.6	±14.2	Normal range
Level at half-time	30 days	26	34.6%	38.5%	−3.9	±18.7	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	Season	45	22.2%	28.2%	−6.0	±12.8	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	30 days	26	23.1%	28.4%	−5.3	±16.8	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	Season	45	53.3%	44.8%	+8.5	±14.0	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	30 days	26	53.8%	47.2%	+6.7	±18.5	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	Season	45	42.2%	40.2%	+2.0	±13.7	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	30 days	26	34.6%	41.4%	−6.8	±18.2	Normal range

Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Lens–

Olympique Lyonnais–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Ligue 1 - France

Lens–

Olympique Lyonnais–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Extra Stats

Full Time

143%

X26%

231%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	55%	45%
	32%	68%	65%	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

2-1

9.2%

1-0

9.0%

1-2

7.7%

0-1

7.3%

2-0

6.7%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

6.2%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Lille–

Le Havre–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Ligue 1 - France

Lille–

Le Havre–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Brest–

Angers SCO–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Ligue 1 - France

Brest–

Angers SCO–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Lorient–

Paris–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Ligue 1 - France

Lorient–

Paris–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Monaco–

Toulouse–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Ligue 1 - France

Monaco–

Toulouse–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Paris Saint Germain–

Le Mans–

Winner

1 72%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Ligue 1 - France

Paris Saint Germain–

Le Mans–

Winner

1 72%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Nice–

Strasbourg–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Ligue 1 - France

Nice–

Strasbourg–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Rennes–

Auxerre–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS**

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Ligue 1 - France

Rennes–

Auxerre–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS**

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Troyes–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

12 76%

BTTS**

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Ligue 1 - France

Troyes–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

12 76%

BTTS**

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Le Mans–

Toulouse–

Winner

12 69%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Ligue 1 - France

Le Mans–

Toulouse–

Winner

12 69%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Strasbourg–

Paris Saint Germain–

Winner

2 63%

BTTS**

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Ligue 1 - France

Strasbourg–

Paris Saint Germain–

Winner

2 63%

BTTS**

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Lille–

Brest–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Ligue 1 - France

Lille–

Brest–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Extra Stats

Ligue 1 - France

Troyes–

Lens–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Ligue 1 - France

Troyes–

Lens–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Extra Stats

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Monaco	5	13	4	1	0	8:3	+5	W D W W W
2 Olympique Lyonnais	5	11	3	2	0	10:2	+8	W D W D W
3 Paris	5	11	3	2	0	8:3	+5	W D W W D
4 Lille	5	10	3	1	1	8:4	+4	L W W D W
5 Rennes	5	10	3	1	1	8:9	-1	L W W W D

UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

UEFA Europa League

UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings

About Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.