Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ligue 1 match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 24 August 2026.
Ligue 1 Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
57%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
39%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
12%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 12%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 66% prediction accuracy — that's 8.7% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 60.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 8.1% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1
Lille–
Paris Saint Germain–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Lille–Paris Saint Germain–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35% | 65% | 67% | 33% |
 | 23% | 77% | 52% | 48% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 57% | 43% |
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
Strasbourg–
Lens–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Strasbourg–Lens–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Olympique Lyonnais–
Le Havre–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Olympique Lyonnais–Le Havre–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Lorient–
Troyes–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Lorient–Troyes–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Brest–
Toulouse–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Brest–Toulouse–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Auxerre–
Angers SCO–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Auxerre–Angers SCO–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Paris–
Nice–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Paris–Nice–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Rennes–
Le Mans–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Rennes–Le Mans–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Monaco–
Olympique Marseille–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Monaco–Olympique Marseille–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Toulouse–Lille–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Toulouse–Lille–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Olympique Lyonnais–Auxerre–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Olympique Lyonnais–Auxerre–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Paris Saint Germain–Monaco–Winner
1 61%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Paris Saint Germain–Monaco–Winner
1 61%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Lens–Lorient–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Lens–Lorient–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Nice–Le Mans–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Nice–Le Mans–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Le Havre–Brest–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Le Havre–Brest–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Troyes–Strasbourg–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Troyes–Strasbourg–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Angers SCO–Rennes–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Angers SCO–Rennes–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Olympique Marseille–Paris–Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Olympique Marseille–Paris–Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Olympique Lyonnais leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (1 correct out of 1 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
LensPrediction Form Streaks
Olympique MarseilleOlympique LyonnaisLensLigue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
LensParis Saint Germain
RennesPrediction Form Streaks
LensParis Saint GermainRennesLigue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique MarseilleLensParis Saint GermainPrediction Form Streaks
Olympique MarseilleLensParis Saint GermainLigue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Toulouse
NicePrediction Form Streaks
Olympique LyonnaisToulouseNiceLigue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Olympique Lyonnais
BrestToulousePrediction Form Streaks
Olympique LyonnaisBrestToulouseLigue 1 Teams in Best Form
Olympique MarseilleLensLilleLigue 1 Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Olympique Marseille | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | W |
2  Lens | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | W |
3  Lille | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | W |
4  Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | W |
5  Monaco | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | W |
About Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.