Value Betting ROI Tracker by Market

Track the real performance of our AI-powered VALUE bet picks across 19 distinct football betting markets. The ROI tracker below shows how profitable each market has been over the last 7, 14, and 30 days — with success rates, average odds, and the edge our prediction algorithm identified. Looking for today's value bet picks? See today's value bets.

Some months, no — and we show it. Right now no market clears a positive 30-day ROI; edges ebb and flow, and pretending otherwise is how tipster sites lie. The tracker exists for exactly this: bet only where a market's edge is proven, and sit out when it isn't.

The data above shows which betting markets have been profitable based on our value selections. Instead of guessing, you can focus on markets where our prediction algorithm has demonstrated a consistent edge over bookmaker odds. Markets with positive ROI indicate that following value bets in that category would have been profitable over the selected period.

• ROI (Return on Investment) — shows the percentage profit or loss from a flat $1 stake on every VALUE bet in that market. +8% ROI means $108 back from $100 staked.
• Success Rate — the percentage of VALUE bets that won. A low success rate doesn't mean a market is unprofitable — high-odds markets can be profitable even at 30-35% hit rate.
• Avg Odd — the average decimal odds across all VALUE bets in that market. Higher average odds mean bigger payouts per win but fewer wins.
• Edge — how much higher our prediction algorithm's probability is vs what the bookmaker's odds imply. A +15% edge means our algorithm thinks the outcome is 15% more likely than the bookmaker does.
• Bets Tracked — the total number of settled VALUE bets in that market for the selected period.

Each market card is color-coded by ROI performance:

• Exceptional ROI (green glow) — ROI above +17%. The most profitable markets in our tracker.
• Strong ROI (blue) — ROI between +8% and +17%. Consistently profitable over the period.
• Positive ROI (teal) — ROI between +1% and +8%. Marginally profitable — the edge exists but is smaller.
• Near break-even (yellow) — ROI between -5% and +1%. Close to flat — not clearly profitable or unprofitable yet.
• Negative ROI (red) — ROI below -5%. Currently unprofitable in this market over the selected period.

ROI = ((Total Returns − Total Staked) / Total Staked) × 100. We use a flat $1 stake per bet for consistency. For example: if you placed 100 VALUE bets at $1 each and got $108 back, the ROI is +8%. A positive ROI means the strategy was profitable over that period. A negative ROI means it lost money. The longer the period and the more bets tracked, the more reliable the ROI figure becomes.

Higher-odds markets need fewer wins to be profitable. If the average odd in a market is 3.50, you only need to win about 29% of the time to break even. Win 35% and you're making a solid profit — even though you're losing nearly two-thirds of your bets. Profitability depends on BOTH odds and hit rate, not just how often bets win. That's why markets like Away Win can show strong ROI with a seemingly low success rate.

Edge (also called delta) measures the gap between our prediction algorithm's calculated probability and what the bookmaker's odds suggest. If the bookmaker's odds imply a 50% chance of an outcome but our algorithm calculates 60%, the edge is +10%. A higher edge means a bigger value opportunity. On the market cards above, each value bet shows its own edge label (for example, "+10% Edge") — meaning our algorithm rated that outcome more likely than the bookmaker's price implied, on average.

If you look at the tracker above, you'll notice a pattern: markets like Away Win, Under goals, and First Half results consistently show higher ROI than Home Win or Over goals. This isn't a coincidence. Bookmakers apply their tightest margins to the most popular markets — the ones where the majority of bets flow (Home Win, Over 2.5). Less popular markets — Away Win, Under goals, and First Half outcomes — tend to carry slightly inflated odds because bookmakers have less incentive to price them razor-sharp. First Half markets are particularly inefficient since fewer bettors analyze halftime outcomes, leaving more room for mispricing. That's exactly where value betting thrives: our prediction algorithm identifies outcomes where the real probability is higher than the bookmaker's price suggests, and these mispriced opportunities appear more often in underdog, under-goal, and first half markets.

VALUE bets come from outcomes the bookmaker undervalues — and these tend to be higher-odds selections like away wins, first half results, and certain over/under goal lines. Regular bettors gravitate toward low-odds favorites (1.30–2.00), so bookmakers price those tightly. The less popular the outcome, the more room there is for mispricing — and that's where our prediction algorithm finds the biggest edges. That's why average odds on VALUE picks typically range from 3.00 to 6.00+, significantly higher than what most bettors play.

Want to understand how ROI works in betting and why it matters more than win rate? Read our guide on tracking betting ROI.