How Our AI Football Predictions Work

By Dimitar Goshevski · Last updated: June 10, 2026

MyGameOdds runs on a two-layer system: machine-learning models that turn match data into probabilities, and an analytics layer built in-house that detects value against bookmaker odds and tracks the accuracy of every prediction against real results. This page explains both layers — what they do, how we verify them, and what they can't do.

Match probabilities are produced by machine-learning models trained on years of historical football data. For every fixture, the models weigh team form, head-to-head records, player availability and individual player contribution — a player's recent form, position and impact on overall team performance — and convert these signals into probability distributions for each betting market.

Probabilities are generated for 76 leagues across 8 markets: 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under 2.5 and 3.5 goals, Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time, First Half Result and Double Chance. They are recalculated daily as new data arrives, with no human intervention — every number on this site is a model output, not an opinion.

Everything in this layer is designed, built and run in-house by our team. It is what turns raw probabilities into something you can act on — and verify.

Picks of the Day, Bet of the Day and the market tip pages are filtered views of the same model output: only outcomes that clear market-specific probability thresholds (roughly 46–60% depending on the market) are published. When no fixture clears the bar, we publish nothing rather than pad the page with weak tips.

Predictions are recorded before kickoff and never edited afterwards. Losing predictions are displayed alongside winning ones, and negative-ROI markets stay on the tracker. If a number on this site cannot be traced back to settled match results, we don't publish it.

No model predicts football reliably enough to guarantee profit. A 60% probability still loses four times out of ten — variance is part of the game, and losing runs are normal even when the underlying probabilities are well calibrated.

Match probabilities are recalculated daily; bookmaker odds and value flags refresh every few minutes. Most data widgets display an "Updated X ago" stamp so you can see exactly how fresh the numbers are.

Because a track record you can't falsify is marketing, not evidence. Keeping every settled prediction — hits and misses — is what makes our published accuracy meaningful.

Eight betting markets — 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 and 3.5 goals, Correct Score, HT/FT, First Half Result and Double Chance — across 76 leagues worldwide.