Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
Team over 1.5 goals tips today, straight from our engine. You’re backing one side — the hosts or the visitors — to score at least twice, whatever the other team does. It’s the team total goals market: over 1.5 for one team only. It suits games with a clear attacking favourite, where the full-match total can mislead. A pick needs 57.5% model probability or higher before it’s published. The model under-rates this market: when it says 61%, teams score 2+ about 66% of the time. The bookmaker price is locked at publish. Every result is settled on the public record.
Predictions updated on 17 October 2026.
Home 2+ · Last 30 days
Record
11/20 ✓
Hit rate
55%
ROI
-16.8%
Home 2+ · Last 30 days
Record
11/20 ✓
Hit rate
55%
ROI
-16.8%
Away 2+ · Last 30 days
Record
5/5 ✓
Hit rate
100%
ROI
+45.8%
Away 2+ · Last 30 days
Record
5/5 ✓
Hit rate
100%
ROI
+45.8%
Our published home team 2+ tips have won 11 of 20 so far (55%), returning 83.2 for every 100 staked at the odds we published. Our published away team 2+ tips have won 5 of 5 so far (100%), returning 145.8 for every 100 staked at the odds we published. Every tip and its result is on the results page.
All our leagues · this week and since Jul 1
How often these results happened in matches across our leagues, next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. This describes the betting market, not our tips’ record: that is the sentence and the results bar above.
How to read it
Home team scored 2+
558 matches
46.2%
Away team scored 2+
558 matches
39.1%
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home team scored 2+ | This week | 558 | 46.2% | 46.6% | −0.3 | ±3.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Since Jul 1 | 5,363 | 45.6% | 45.2% | +0.4 | ±1.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | This week | 558 | 39.1% | 37.3% | +1.7 | ±3.8 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Since Jul 1 | 5,354 | 36.1% | 34.8% | +1.2 | ±1.2 | More than expected |
The hosts to score two or more. We publish it when our model makes that at least 57.5% likely — strong home attacks against defences that leak on the road.
Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
Home team over 1.5 goals
Home team goals over/under 1.5
The visitors to score two or more. Same 57.5% bar. It clears less often — away sides rarely dominate — so these picks are fewer, and usually on big favourites visiting weak defences.
Away team over 1.5 goals
Away team goals over/under 1.5
Away team over 1.5 goals
Away team goals over/under 1.5
Away team over 1.5 goals
Away team goals over/under 1.5
A team goals pick has to pass three checks. Our model must make that side scoring 2+ goals 57.5% likely or more. A real bookmaker must price it at 1.25 or better. That price doesn't have to beat our fair odd: across two seasons of results, picks the bookmakers rated higher than our model won more often, so dropping them only cut good picks. The model under-rates this market: when it says 61%, teams score 2+ about 66% of the time. We still drop prices that look too good to be true. Each outcome has a daily cap, strongest picks first. Odds locked at publish.
It’s a bet on one team’s goals only. Home team over 1.5 wins if the hosts score two or more. Away team over 1.5 wins if the visitors do. The other side’s goals don’t count: a 2-2 wins both, a 3-0 wins only the home bet, and a 1-1 loses both.
By our engine, same as every market on the site. The model rates each team’s chance of scoring 2+ in every game. A pick is published only at 57.5% probability or higher. It also needs a real bookmaker odd of at least 1.25; that price doesn’t have to beat our fair odd, because the model under-rates this market — when it says 61%, teams score 2+ about 66% of the time. We still drop prices that look too good to be true. The odds are frozen at publish. Every pick is marked won or lost on our public record — wins and losses alike.
Explore more predictions across MyGameOdds: over 2.5 goals tips for the full-match total, today’s BTTS tips when both sides should score, 1X2 match result tips, and all of today’s picks.
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