1. Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 23 October 2026.

Liga Portugal Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

49%

Both Teams To Score

56%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

62%

First Half Result

53%

Correct Score

14%

Liga Portugal 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 49%, BTTS 56%, Over/Under 2.5 53%, Over/Under 3.5 62%, correct score 14%.

Liga Portugal stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 306 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Card-heavy

Goals a match

2.73

31st of 63

xG a match

2.69

43rd of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

9.34

41st of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

4.86

10th of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Liga Portugal: the stats that stand out

The Liga Portugal teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Slow starters
Vitória SC1/10

Vitória SC scored first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Brick wall
Santa Clara6/10

Santa Clara kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).

Shot-shy
Casa Pia6/10

Casa Pia failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 28%).

Goal-fests
Benfica9/10

Benfica games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 55%).

Always chasing
Estoril8/10

Estoril conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Flop as favourites
Famalicão2/9

Famalicão won only 2 of 9 as favourites (league 56%).

Goals at both ends
Marítimo6/8

Marítimo: both teams scored in 6 of their last 8 (league 50%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Liga Portugal

Free predictions for today's Liga Portugal matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
Sporting CPSporting CP3
Vitória SCVitória SC2

Winner

1 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

172%
X18%
210%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sporting CP11%89%33%67%
Vitória SC58%42%85%15%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT40%60%51%49%

Correct Score

2-0

11.8%

1-0

10.3%

2-1

9.3%

3-0

9.2%

1-1

8.1%

3-1

6.6%

· FT
AlvercaAlverca2
Estrela AmadoraEstrela Amadora2

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu0
Santa ClaraSanta Clara1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT
Rio AveRio Ave0
PortoPorto2

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
NacionalNacional2
EstorilEstoril0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
AroucaArouca4
MoreirenseMoreirense0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT
FamalicãoFamalicão1
MarítimoMarítimo2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT
Casa PiaCasa Pia0
BenficaBenfica7

Winner

2 59%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT
Sporting BragaSporting Braga1
Gil VicenteGil Vicente2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Vitória SCVitória SC–
MarítimoMarítimo–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Estrela AmadoraEstrela Amadora–
Casa PiaCasa Pia–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

AlvercaAlverca–
AroucaArouca–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Gil VicenteGil Vicente–
PortoPorto–

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

EstorilEstoril–
MoreirenseMoreirense–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Rio AveRio Ave–
FamalicãoFamalicão–

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

NacionalNacional–
Sporting BragaSporting Braga–

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Sporting CPSporting CP–
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu–

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Santa ClaraSanta Clara–
BenficaBenfica–

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Casa PiaCasa Pia–
Sporting CPSporting CP–

Winner

2 76%

BTTS*

No 65%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

MoreirenseMoreirense–
Estrela AmadoraEstrela Amadora–

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

PortoPorto–
EstorilEstoril–

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

AroucaArouca–
NacionalNacional–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

MarítimoMarítimo–
Santa ClaraSanta Clara–

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu–
Rio AveRio Ave–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Sporting BragaSporting Braga–
FamalicãoFamalicão–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

BenficaBenfica–
AlvercaAlverca–

Winner

1 80%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Gil VicenteGil Vicente–
Vitória SCVitória SC–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Liga Portugal xG: chances created and allowed

Every Liga Portugal team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsLiga Portugal average · 1.36 xG, 1.35 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Liga Portugal Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Liga Portugal this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −35 odds expected+35 more ▶

Home wins

38.9%

Season (72) · 38.9% vs 43.4%Normal range
30 days (10) · 40.0% vs 40.7%Normal range

Draws

25.0%

Season (72) · 25.0% vs 23.9%Normal range
30 days (10) · 0.0% vs 26.0%Normal range

Away wins

36.1%

Season (72) · 36.1% vs 32.7%Normal range
30 days (10) · 60.0% vs 33.3%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

55.6%

Season (72) · 55.6% vs 50.3%Normal range
30 days (10) · 60.0% vs 49.7%Normal range

Both teams scored

51.4%

Season (72) · 51.4% vs 47.8%Normal range
30 days (10) · 60.0% vs 50.9%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

36.1%

Season (72) · 36.1% vs 28.9%Normal range
30 days (10) · 30.0% vs 28.3%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

30.6%

Season (72) · 30.6% vs 33.0%Normal range
30 days (10) · 50.0% vs 31.7%Normal range

Level at half-time

45.8%

Season (72) · 45.8% vs 40.9%Normal range
30 days (10) · 50.0% vs 42.0%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

23.6%

Season (72) · 23.6% vs 26.1%Normal range
30 days (10) · 0.0% vs 26.3%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

41.7%

Season (72) · 41.7% vs 40.9%Normal range
30 days (10) · 30.0% vs 40.4%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

43.1%

Season (72) · 43.1% vs 32.9%More than expected
30 days (10) · 50.0% vs 34.1%Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Away team scored 2+ 43.1% vs 32.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 20).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Liga Portugal, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason7238.9%43.4%−4.5±10.2Normal range
Home wins30 days1040.0%40.7%−0.7±28.3Normal range
DrawsSeason7225.0%23.9%+1.1±9.7Normal range
Draws30 days100.0%26.0%−26.0±27.0Normal range
Away winsSeason7236.1%32.7%+3.4±9.6Normal range
Away wins30 days1060.0%33.3%+26.7±27.1Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason7255.6%50.3%+5.3±11.3Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days1060.0%49.7%+10.3±30.7Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason7251.4%47.8%+3.6±11.5Normal range
Both teams scored30 days1060.0%50.9%+9.1±30.9Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason7236.1%28.9%+7.2±10.3Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days1030.0%28.3%+1.7±27.6Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason7230.6%33.0%−2.5±10.2Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days1050.0%31.7%+18.3±27.6Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason7245.8%40.9%+4.9±11.3Normal range
Level at half-time30 days1050.0%42.0%+8.0±30.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason7223.6%26.1%−2.5±9.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days100.0%26.3%−26.3±26.4Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season7241.7%40.9%+0.8±10.4Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days1030.0%40.4%−10.4±28.5Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season7243.1%32.9%+10.2±10.0More than expected
Away team scored 2+30 days1050.0%34.1%+15.9±28.2Normal range

Liga Portugal luck check: the last 10 games

Liga Portugal teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+8.2 = 8 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck3

  • Academico Viseu
    Academico Viseu8 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals
    +8.2
  • Arouca
    AroucaClinical · +5 goals
    +8.1
  • Santa Clara
    Santa Clara
    +4.9

Unlucky3

  • Vitória SC
    Vitória SCWasteful · −12 goals
    −12.9
  • Estoril
    EstorilWasteful · −7 goals
    −9.2
  • Sporting Braga
    Sporting Braga
    −4.0

Points in line, but wasteful: Gil Vicente (−5 goals), Casa Pia (−5). Clinical: Sporting CP (+7), Estrela Amadora (+5).

In line with their chances: Porto, Rio Ave, Moreirense, Marítimo, Alverca, Famalicão, Nacional and Benfica.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Liga Portugal last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 16–Oct 23 · 1 match · odds: closing, margin removed

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Liga Portugal Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
PortoPorto
82480020:4+16
W
W
W
W
W
2
BenficaBenfica
81961124:7+17
W
L
W
W
W
3
Sporting CPSporting CP
81853020:9+11
W
D
D
W
W
4
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
81853012:4+8
W
D
W
W
D
5
AroucaArouca
81442211:7+4
W
D
L
D
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

The league profile compares Liga Portugal with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

About Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.

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