Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 23 August 2026.
Liga Portugal Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 3 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
46%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
13%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga Portugal matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga Portugal currently hit at 13%.
First Half Result is our strongest Liga Portugal betting market this season with 58% prediction accuracy — that's 52.2% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.1%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga Portugal.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 11.3% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 48%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga Portugal football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga Portugal
Vitória SC1
Nacional0Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Vitória SC1Nacional0Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
 | 41% | 59% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 64% | 36% |
Correct Score
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.6%
Santa Clara1
Famalicão0Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Santa Clara1Famalicão0Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Porto0
Arouca0Winner
1 66%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Porto0Arouca0Winner
1 66%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Gil Vicente–
Casa Pia–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Gil Vicente–Casa Pia–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Rio Ave–
Sporting CP–Winner
2 63%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Rio Ave–Sporting CP–Winner
2 63%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Arouca–
Marítimo–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Arouca–Marítimo–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Alverca–Santa Clara–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Alverca–Santa Clara–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Academico Viseu–Porto–Winner
2 59%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Academico Viseu–Porto–Winner
2 59%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Nacional–
Estrela Amadora–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Nacional–Estrela Amadora–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Casa Pia–
Moreirense–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Casa Pia–Moreirense–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Famalicão–Gil Vicente–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Famalicão–Gil Vicente–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Benfica–
Estoril–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Benfica–Estoril–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Sporting Braga–Vitória SC–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Sporting Braga–Vitória SC–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Vitória SC–Casa Pia–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Vitória SC–Casa Pia–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Sporting CP–Nacional–Winner
1 68%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Sporting CP–Nacional–Winner
1 68%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Santa Clara–Rio Ave–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Santa Clara–Rio Ave–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Porto–Moreirense–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Porto–Moreirense–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Marítimo–Benfica–Winner
2 58%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Marítimo–Benfica–Winner
2 58%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Gil Vicente–Academico Viseu–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Gil Vicente–Academico Viseu–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Estoril–Arouca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Estoril–Arouca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Estrela Amadora–Famalicão–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Estrela Amadora–Famalicão–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Alverca–Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Alverca–Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga Portugal betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Alverca leads First Half Result predictions with 100% accuracy (3 correct out of 3 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga Portugal bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga Portugal teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga Portugal Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Porto
Casa Pia
Gil VicentePrediction Form Streaks
Sporting CPVitória SC
AlvercaLiga Portugal Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
PortoCasa Pia
Sporting BragaPrediction Form Streaks
PortoCasa PiaVitória SCLiga Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Sporting BragaSporting CPVitória SCPrediction Form Streaks
Sporting CPVitória SCAlvercaLiga Portugal Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Estoril
Rio AvePortoPrediction Form Streaks
EstorilRio AveNacionalLiga Portugal First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Alverca
BenficaCasa PiaPrediction Form Streaks
AlvercaSporting CPBenficaLiga Portugal Teams in Best Form
Sporting CP
Marítimo
AroucaLiga Portugal Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Sporting CP | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | +3 | W W D |
2  Marítimo | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | D W W |
3  Santa Clara | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | W W D |
4  Arouca | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | W W |
5  Porto | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | W W |
About Liga Portugal
Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.