Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 13 September 2026.
Liga Portugal Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 6 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
67%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
57%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga Portugal matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga Portugal currently hit at 14%.
First Half Result is our strongest Liga Portugal betting market this season with 57% prediction accuracy — that's 51.2% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 37.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga Portugal.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 7.1% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga Portugal football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga Portugal
Benfica–
Gil Vicente–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Benfica–Gil Vicente–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% |
 | 61% | 39% | 88% | 12% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 60% | 40% |
Correct Score
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
Arouca–
Santa Clara–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Arouca–Santa Clara–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Famalicão–
Sporting CP–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Famalicão–Sporting CP–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Rio Ave–
Estrela Amadora–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Rio Ave–Estrela Amadora–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Moreirense–
Marítimo–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Moreirense–Marítimo–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Sporting Braga–
Estoril–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Sporting Braga–Estoril–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Nacional–Famalicão–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Nacional–Famalicão–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Gil Vicente–Marítimo–Winner
1X 77%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Gil Vicente–Marítimo–Winner
1X 77%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Alverca–Rio Ave–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Alverca–Rio Ave–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Sporting CP–Arouca–Winner
1 69%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Sporting CP–Arouca–Winner
1 69%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Vitória SC–Moreirense–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Vitória SC–Moreirense–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Estrela Amadora–
Academico Viseu–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Estrela Amadora–Academico Viseu–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Santa Clara–Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Santa Clara–Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Estoril–
Casa Pia–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Estoril–Casa Pia–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Porto–Benfica–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Porto–Benfica–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga Portugal betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Benfica leads First Half Result predictions with 100% accuracy (5 correct out of 5 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga Portugal bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga Portugal teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga Portugal Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Porto
Casa Pia
Sporting CPPrediction Form Streaks
PortoSporting CPBenficaLiga Portugal Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Casa PiaGil VicentePortoPrediction Form Streaks
Vitória SC
Nacional
Academico ViseuLiga Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
BenficaGil VicenteVitória SCPrediction Form Streaks
BenficaVitória SC
MarítimoLiga Portugal Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
EstorilGil VicentePortoPrediction Form Streaks
EstorilVitória SC
AroucaLiga Portugal First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
BenficaSporting CPMarítimoPrediction Form Streaks
BenficaSporting CPMarítimoLiga Portugal Teams in Best Form
PortoBenficaSporting CPLiga Portugal Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Porto | 6 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | +13 | W W W W W |
2  Benfica | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | +15 | W W W W D |
3  Sporting CP | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | W W W W D |
4  Santa Clara | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | W D W W D |
5  Arouca | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | D W L W W |
About Liga Portugal
Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.