Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 3 August 2026.
Liga Portugal Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
70%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
55%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga Portugal matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 2 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga Portugal currently hit at 14%.
First Half Result is our strongest Liga Portugal betting market this season with 55% prediction accuracy — that's 42.5% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.6%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga Portugal.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 6.2% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 51%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga Portugal football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga Portugal
Estoril–
Famalicão–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Estoril–Famalicão–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
 | 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 63% | 37% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
Marítimo–
Casa Pia–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Marítimo–Casa Pia–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Vitória SC–
Arouca–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Vitória SC–Arouca–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Estrela Amadora–
Sporting CP–Winner
2 61%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Estrela Amadora–Sporting CP–Winner
2 61%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Benfica–
Academico Viseu–Winner
1 72%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Benfica–Academico Viseu–Winner
1 72%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Moreirense–
Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Moreirense–Sporting Braga–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Porto–
Alverca–Winner
1 69%
BTTS**
No 63%
Correct Score
1-0 18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Porto–Alverca–Winner
1 69%
BTTS**
No 63%
Correct Score
1-0 18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Gil Vicente–
Rio Ave–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Gil Vicente–Rio Ave–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Santa Clara–
Nacional–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Santa Clara–Nacional–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Sporting CP–Vitória SC–Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Sporting CP–Vitória SC–Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Alverca–Estrela Amadora–Winner
1X 78%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Alverca–Estrela Amadora–Winner
1X 78%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Academico Viseu–Santa Clara–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Academico Viseu–Santa Clara–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Rio Ave–Porto–Winner
2 57%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Rio Ave–Porto–Winner
2 57%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Famalicão–Marítimo–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Famalicão–Marítimo–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Casa Pia–Benfica–Winner
2 60%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Casa Pia–Benfica–Winner
2 60%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Sporting Braga–Gil Vicente–Winner
1 54%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Sporting Braga–Gil Vicente–Winner
1 54%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Nacional–Estoril–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Nacional–Estoril–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Arouca–Moreirense–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Arouca–Moreirense–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy by Team
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga Portugal teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga Portugal Teams in Best Form
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
BenficaLiga Portugal Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
2  Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
3  Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
4  Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
5  Vitória SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
About Liga Portugal
Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.