Banker as favourites
9/9Porto won 9 of 9 as favourites (league 56%).
Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 12 November 2026.
Liga Portugal Predictions by Market
Full-Time Result
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
68%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
11%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Liga Portugal current prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 54%, BTTS 51%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 68%, correct score 11%.
Liga Portugal stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 305 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsCard-heavy
Goals a match
2.67
40th of 63
xG a match
2.66
45th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Liga Portugal: the stats that stand out
The Liga Portugal teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/9Slow starters
1/10Estoril scored first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Hard to break
1/10Santa Clara conceded first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Shot-shy
6/10Rio Ave failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 29%).
Leaky
0/10Estrela Amadora kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 29%).
Goal-fests
8/10Benfica games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 54%).
Goals at both ends
7/10Alverca: both teams scored in 7 of their last 10 (league 49%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →No upcoming football predictions for Liga Portugal
There are currently no upcoming matches scheduled in the Liga Portugal. Our football predictions for this league will resume as soon as new fixtures are available. Check back shortly for the latest match forecasts and betting insights.
Liga Portugal xG: chances created and allowed
Every Liga Portugal team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLiga Portugal average · 1.33 xG, 1.33 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Liga Portugal Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Liga Portugal this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
98 matches
39.8%
Season (98) · 39.8% vs 42.9%
Season
−3.1
±8.7
30 days (27) · 40.7% vs 42.0%
30 days
−1.3
±16.3
Draws
98 matches
20.4%
Season (98) · 20.4% vs 23.6%
Season
−3.1
±8.3
30 days (27) · 7.4% vs 22.7%
30 days
−15.3
±15.6
Away wins
98 matches
39.8%
Season (98) · 39.8% vs 33.6%
Season
+6.2
±8.2
30 days (27) · 51.9% vs 35.3%More than expected
30 days
+16.6
±15.9More than expected
Over 2.5 goals
98 matches
53.1%
Season (98) · 53.1% vs 51.1%
Season
+1.9
±9.7
30 days (27) · 48.1% vs 53.3%
30 days
−5.2
±18.4
Both teams scored
98 matches
46.9%
Season (98) · 46.9% vs 48.3%
Season
−1.4
±9.9
30 days (27) · 37.0% vs 49.7%
30 days
−12.7
±18.8
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
98 matches
31.6%
Season (98) · 31.6% vs 29.7%
Season
+2.0
±8.8
30 days (27) · 18.5% vs 31.6%
30 days
−13.1
±17.1
Home side ahead at half-time
98 matches
27.6%
Season (98) · 27.6% vs 32.9%
Season
−5.3
±8.7
30 days (27) · 22.2% vs 32.7%
30 days
−10.5
±16.4
Level at half-time
98 matches
44.9%
Season (98) · 44.9% vs 40.5%
Season
+4.4
±9.6
30 days (27) · 40.7% vs 39.4%
30 days
+1.3
±18.3
Away side ahead at half-time
98 matches
27.6%
Season (98) · 27.6% vs 26.7%
Season
+0.9
±8.2
30 days (27) · 37.0% vs 27.8%
30 days
+9.2
±15.7
Home team scored 2+
98 matches
36.7%
Season (98) · 36.7% vs 41.1%
Season
−4.3
±8.9
30 days (27) · 22.2% vs 42.0%Fewer than expected
30 days
−19.8
±16.9Fewer than expected
Away team scored 2+
98 matches
41.8%
Season (98) · 41.8% vs 33.9%
Season
+8.0
±8.6
30 days (27) · 40.7% vs 36.0%
30 days
+4.7
±16.6
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 98 | 39.8% | 42.9% | −3.1 | ±8.7 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 27 | 40.7% | 42.0% | −1.3 | ±16.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 98 | 20.4% | 23.6% | −3.1 | ±8.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 27 | 7.4% | 22.7% | −15.3 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 98 | 39.8% | 33.6% | +6.2 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 27 | 51.9% | 35.3% | +16.6 | ±15.9 | More than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 98 | 53.1% | 51.1% | +1.9 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 27 | 48.1% | 53.3% | −5.2 | ±18.4 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 98 | 46.9% | 48.3% | −1.4 | ±9.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 27 | 37.0% | 49.7% | −12.7 | ±18.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 98 | 31.6% | 29.7% | +2.0 | ±8.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 27 | 18.5% | 31.6% | −13.1 | ±17.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 98 | 27.6% | 32.9% | −5.3 | ±8.7 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 22.2% | 32.7% | −10.5 | ±16.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 98 | 44.9% | 40.5% | +4.4 | ±9.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 40.7% | 39.4% | +1.3 | ±18.3 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 98 | 27.6% | 26.7% | +0.9 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 37.0% | 27.8% | +9.2 | ±15.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 98 | 36.7% | 41.1% | −4.3 | ±8.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 27 | 22.2% | 42.0% | −19.8 | ±16.9 | Fewer than expected |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 98 | 41.8% | 33.9% | +8.0 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 27 | 40.7% | 36.0% | +4.7 | ±16.6 | Normal range |
Liga Portugal luck check: the last 10 games
Liga Portugal teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+10.2 = 10 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck4
Academico ViseuClinical · +3 goals+10.2- Porto+7.2
Moreirense+5.6- Santa Clara+4.3
Unlucky3
- EstorilWasteful · −8 goals−10.0
Vitória SCWasteful · −5 goals−8.9- Estrela Amadora−4.3
Points in line, but wasteful: Sporting Braga (−5 goals), Gil Vicente (−3). Clinical: Benfica (+4).
In line with their chances: Arouca, Casa Pia, Sporting CP, Rio Ave, Nacional, Alverca, Famalicão and Marítimo.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Liga Portugal last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Nov 5–Nov 12 · 8 matches · odds: closing, margin removedNo smash-and-grab wins or upsets in these 8 matches.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Liga Portugal Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Porto | 11 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | +22 | W W W W W |
2  Benfica | 11 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | W W W W L |
3  Sporting CP | 11 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | W W L W D |
4  Santa Clara | 11 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | L W L W D |
5  Arouca | 11 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | L W W W D |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Liga Portugal with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Liga Portugal
Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.