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Liga Portugal Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 3 October 2026.

Liga Portugal Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 8 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

47%

Both Teams To Score

57%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

64%

First Half Result

54%

Correct Score

15%

In the Liga Portugal 2026/2027 season, our football prediction accuracy for the full-time 1X2 market stands at 47%, calculated from the AI model’s performance over the last 100 league matches. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) prediction accuracy is 57%, while Correct Score accuracy is 15%. Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions show an accuracy of 57%, and Over/Under 3.5 goals predictions stand at 64%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

Liga Portugal Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Liga Portugal this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days

Result · happened

◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶

Verdict

Home wins

62 matches

38.7%

of matches · odds said 43.8%

30 days: 34.5% vs 41.9% (29)

Season (62) · 38.7% vs 43.8%Normal range

Season

−5.1

±10.9Normal range

30 days (29) · 34.5% vs 41.9%Normal range

30 days

−7.4

±15.6Normal range

Draws

62 matches

29.0%

of matches · odds said 23.6%

30 days: 31.0% vs 23.1% (29)

Season (62) · 29.0% vs 23.6%Normal range

Season

+5.5

±10.4Normal range

30 days (29) · 31.0% vs 23.1%Normal range

30 days

+7.9

±15.1Normal range

Away wins

62 matches

32.3%

of matches · odds said 32.6%

30 days: 34.5% vs 35.0% (29)

Season (62) · 32.3% vs 32.6%Normal range

Season

−0.4

±10.2Normal range

30 days (29) · 34.5% vs 35.0%Normal range

30 days

−0.5

±15.2Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

62 matches

54.8%

of matches · odds said 50.3%

30 days: 62.1% vs 51.3% (29)

Season (62) · 54.8% vs 50.3%Normal range

Season

+4.5

±12.2Normal range

30 days (29) · 62.1% vs 51.3%Normal range

30 days

+10.8

±17.8Normal range

Both teams scored

62 matches

50.0%

of matches · odds said 47.3%

30 days: 58.6% vs 47.4% (29)

Season (62) · 50.0% vs 47.3%Normal range

Season

+2.7

±12.4Normal range

30 days (29) · 58.6% vs 47.4%Normal range

30 days

+11.3

±18.1Normal range

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

62 matches

37.1%

of matches · odds said 29.0%

30 days: 37.9% vs 29.4% (29)

Season (62) · 37.1% vs 29.0%Normal range

Season

+8.1

±11.0Normal range

30 days (29) · 37.9% vs 29.4%Normal range

30 days

+8.5

±16.2Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

62 matches

27.4%

of matches · odds said 33.2%

30 days: 27.6% vs 32.2% (29)

Season (62) · 27.4% vs 33.2%Normal range

Season

−5.8

±10.9Normal range

30 days (29) · 27.6% vs 32.2%Normal range

30 days

−4.7

±15.8Normal range

Level at half-time

62 matches

45.2%

of matches · odds said 40.7%

30 days: 44.8% vs 40.3% (29)

Season (62) · 45.2% vs 40.7%Normal range

Season

+4.4

±12.1Normal range

30 days (29) · 44.8% vs 40.3%Normal range

30 days

+4.6

±17.7Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

62 matches

27.4%

of matches · odds said 26.0%

30 days: 27.6% vs 27.5% (29)

Season (62) · 27.4% vs 26.0%Normal range

Season

+1.4

±10.2Normal range

30 days (29) · 27.6% vs 27.5%Normal range

30 days

+0.1

±15.1Normal range

Home team scored 2+

62 matches

43.5%

of matches · odds said 41.0%

30 days: 37.9% vs 40.3% (29)

Season (62) · 43.5% vs 41.0%Normal range

Season

+2.6

±11.2Normal range

30 days (29) · 37.9% vs 40.3%Normal range

30 days

−2.4

±16.2Normal range

Away team scored 2+

62 matches

41.9%

of matches · odds said 32.7%

30 days: 41.4% vs 34.3% (29)

Season (62) · 41.9% vs 32.7%Normal range

Season

+9.2

±10.7Normal range

30 days (29) · 41.4% vs 34.3%Normal range

30 days

+7.1

±15.8Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table

Liga Portugal, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
Result	Period	Matches	Happened	Odds expected	Gap (pts)	Normal range (± pts)	Verdict
Home wins	Season	62	38.7%	43.8%	−5.1	±10.9	Normal range
Home wins	30 days	29	34.5%	41.9%	−7.4	±15.6	Normal range
Draws	Season	62	29.0%	23.6%	+5.5	±10.4	Normal range
Draws	30 days	29	31.0%	23.1%	+7.9	±15.1	Normal range
Away wins	Season	62	32.3%	32.6%	−0.4	±10.2	Normal range
Away wins	30 days	29	34.5%	35.0%	−0.5	±15.2	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	Season	62	54.8%	50.3%	+4.5	±12.2	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	30 days	29	62.1%	51.3%	+10.8	±17.8	Normal range
Both teams scored	Season	62	50.0%	47.3%	+2.7	±12.4	Normal range
Both teams scored	30 days	29	58.6%	47.4%	+11.3	±18.1	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	Season	62	37.1%	29.0%	+8.1	±11.0	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	30 days	29	37.9%	29.4%	+8.5	±16.2	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	Season	62	27.4%	33.2%	−5.8	±10.9	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	30 days	29	27.6%	32.2%	−4.7	±15.8	Normal range
Level at half-time	Season	62	45.2%	40.7%	+4.4	±12.1	Normal range
Level at half-time	30 days	29	44.8%	40.3%	+4.6	±17.7	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	Season	62	27.4%	26.0%	+1.4	±10.2	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	30 days	29	27.6%	27.5%	+0.1	±15.1	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	Season	62	43.5%	41.0%	+2.6	±11.2	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	30 days	29	37.9%	40.3%	−2.4	±16.2	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	Season	62	41.9%	32.7%	+9.2	±10.7	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	30 days	29	41.4%	34.3%	+7.1	±15.8	Normal range

Today's Betting Tips for Liga Portugal

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Moreirense–

Gil Vicente–

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Moreirense–

Gil Vicente–

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Extra Stats

Full Time

133%

X27%

240%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	29%	71%	62%	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

10.2%

1-0

9.2%

1-2

8.6%

0-0

8.1%

2-1

7.3%

0-2

6.8%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Sporting Braga–

Sporting CP–

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Sporting Braga–

Sporting CP–

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Casa Pia–

Santa Clara–

Winner

X2 77%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Casa Pia–

Santa Clara–

Winner

X2 77%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Marítimo–

Porto–

Winner

2 63%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Marítimo–

Porto–

Winner

2 63%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Academico Viseu–

Estoril–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Academico Viseu–

Estoril–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Rio Ave–

Nacional–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Rio Ave–

Nacional–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Benfica–

Vitória SC–

Winner

1 75%

BTTS**

No 56%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Benfica–

Vitória SC–

Winner

1 75%

BTTS**

No 56%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Arouca–

Estrela Amadora–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Arouca–

Estrela Amadora–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Extra Stats

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Famalicão–

Alverca–

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Famalicão–

Alverca–

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Extra Stats

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Liga Portugal Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Porto	7	21	7	0	0	18:3	+15	W W W W W
2 Benfica	7	16	5	1	1	22:7	+15	L W W W W
3 Sporting CP	7	15	4	3	0	17:8	+9	D D W W W
4 Santa Clara	7	15	4	3	0	11:4	+7	D W W D W
5 Arouca	7	11	3	2	2	10:7	+3	D L D W L

UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

UEFA Europa League

UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings

About Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal is the top professional football league in Portugal. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Liga Portugal 2. Liga Portugal is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Porto, SL Benfica, and Sporting CP are the most successful clubs in Liga Portugal history.