Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix — A-League Men Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 26 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Wellington Phoenix+8.9% Above implied probability
Macarthur-30.8% Below implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Wellington Phoenix+20.5% Strongly above implied probability
Macarthur+12.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Wellington Phoenix+13.4% Strongly above implied probability
Macarthur-19% Below implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Wellington Phoenix-15.8% Below implied probability
Macarthur+12.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Wellington Phoenix+24.2% Strongly above implied probability
Macarthur-43.6% Below implied probability
┊ 38.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Wellington Phoenix hit at 48% accuracy — that's 24.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Macarthur sit 43.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 24% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 38% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 6% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 13% | 4% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 4% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
 | 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 11% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 24% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 38% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 6% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 13% | 4% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 4% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
| 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 11% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix — Prediction Form & Streaks
Wellington Phoenix have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Macarthur have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Macarthur well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurBoth Teams To Score
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurFirst Half Result
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurCorrect Score
Wellington PhoenixMacarthurMacarthur & Wellington Phoenix Teams in Best Form
Wellington PhoenixMacarthur