Slow starters
3/10Perth Glory scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Macarthur vs Perth Glory Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
A-League Men - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)
Unlucky
Macarthur are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Macarthur 50% to winPerth Glory 26%
Macarthur vs Perth Glory score prediction
A-League Men
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.0 goals in total, a little over the A-League Men average of 2.8.
goals expected
Macarthur1.7Perth Glory1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Macarthur vs Perth Glory: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · A-League Men
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Macarthur to win
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,906 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Macarthur ahead at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 38%
Our track record
In 2,171 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Macarthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Macarthur 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Perth Glory Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Perth Glory 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Macarthur vs Perth Glory. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Macarthur–
Perth Glory–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Macarthur–Perth Glory–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
152%
X24%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 40% | 60% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
144%
X35%
221%
1st Score
160%
X6%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Macarthur vs Perth Glory: the stats that stand out
A-League Men
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Perth Glory: slow starters · Macarthur: leaky
3/10Leaky
1/10Macarthur kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Macarthur vs Perth Glory: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
A-League Men
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 A-League Men gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMacarthur and Perth Glory games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the A-League Men average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Macarthur9 of 10
Perth Glory6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Macarthur7 of 10
Perth Glory7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 163 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Macarthur vs Perth Glory form and luck check
A-League Men
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 A-League Men gamesMacarthur are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- MacarthurBookmakers: 50% to win today.−4.8
- Perth GloryBookmakers: 26% to win today.+1.7
Last 5 matches
Perth Glory2nd in table0 pts from last 5Macarthur11th in table0 pts from last 5W
D
L
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Macarthur vs Perth Glory corners, cards and goal times
A-League Men
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMacarthur score early, Perth Glory late
Macarthur
Perth Glory
5.4
Corners won · league 5.1
2.9
4.9
Corners conceded · league 5.1
5.5
2.2
Cards · league 1.9
2.1
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.4
60%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
42%
7%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
42%
39%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
41%
26%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →