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Hartberg vs Sturm Graz 2-4 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 9)

The match between Hartberg and Sturm Graz ended 2-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Sturm Graz win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz — Admiral Bundesliga Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 9 · Championship Round

Full-Time Result

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
38.7%(12/31)

-9.8% Near implied probability

HartbergHartberg
41.9%(13/31)

-2.3% Near implied probability

42.9% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
61.3%(19/31)

+13.1% Strongly above implied probability

HartbergHartberg
54.8%(17/31)

+1.1% Above implied probability

54.2% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
45.2%(14/31)

-16% Below implied probability

HartbergHartberg
41.9%(13/31)

-22.1% Below implied probability

53.8% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
71%(22/31)

+15.8% Strongly above implied probability

HartbergHartberg
71%(22/31)

+15.8% Strongly above implied probability

61.3% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
38.7%(12/31)

+1.8% Above implied probability

HartbergHartberg
41.9%(13/31)

+10.3% Strongly above implied probability

38% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
19.4%(6/31)
HartbergHartberg
6.5%(2/31)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Hartberg and Sturm Graz across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Sturm Graz hit at 71% accuracy — that's 15.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Hartberg sit 22.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
131%
X26%
243%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
61%39%84%16%
1st Half
124%
X41%
235%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
16%6%11%
2-22-XX-2
26%6%16%
1-2X-X2-1
4%15%2%
1st Score
142%
X7%
251%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036143/mygameodds/teams/yjk9ygnydznvtpaycg5d.png logo33%67%67%33%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036131/mygameodds/teams/tjznxfkrhkw3b4rsryzp.png logo25%75%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036143/mygameodds/teams/yjk9ygnydznvtpaycg5d.png logo88%12%97%3%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036131/mygameodds/teams/tjznxfkrhkw3b4rsryzp.png logo82%18%94%6%
Correct Score
1-10-11-21-02-10-20-0
12.2%9.7%9.1%8.3%7.6%7.2%6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz — Prediction Form & Streaks

Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Sturm Graz have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Hartberg have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Hartberg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Sturm Graz well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1 in a row
HartbergHartberg
3 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
5 in a row
HartbergHartberg
5 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1 in a row
HartbergHartberg
2 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0 in a row
HartbergHartberg
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0 in a row
HartbergHartberg
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0 in a row
HartbergHartberg
0 in a row

Hartberg & Sturm Graz Teams in Best Form

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
W
D
W
L
W
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
W
D
D
D
D
HartbergHartberg
D
D
W
D
D
HartbergHartberg
L
L
L
W
D

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