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Sirius vs IFK Göteborg 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result
SiriusSirius

4–1

IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
1.5Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Sirius would usually take 1.0 points and IFK Göteborg 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.

Sirius +2.0 pts vs chancesIFK Göteborg −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sirius vs IFK Göteborg stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sirius had clearly more shots on target

Sirius

IFK Göteborg

7

Shots on target

4

4

Big chances

3

4

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

4

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Sirius and IFK Göteborg ended 4-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sirius win with 57% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sirius vs IFK Göteborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius to win

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 178 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sirius Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

IFK Göteborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IFK Göteborg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sirius vs IFK Göteborg 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sirius vs IFK Göteborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
SiriusSirius4
IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

157%
X21%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT45%55%71%29%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sirius15%85%39%61%
IFK Göteborg39%61%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sirius65%35%83%17%
IFK Göteborg88%12%96%4%

1st Half

143%
X36%
221%

1st Score

164%
X3%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

18%

2-2

12%

X-X

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.8%

1-1

8.8%

2-0

7.0%

1-0

7.0%

2-2

6.8%

3-1

6.7%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

5.0%

3-2

4.6%

0-1

4.3%

0-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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