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Örgryte vs AIK 3-4 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Örgryte3–4
AIKOn these chances Örgryte would usually take 0.7 points and AIK 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: AIK.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Örgryte vs AIK stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
AIK had more than twice the shots on target
Örgryte
AIK
3
Shots on target
9
2
Big chances
4
3
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
39%
Possession
61%
Örgryte vs AIK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AIK to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Örgryte 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
AIK 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Örgryte vs AIK 3-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Örgryte vs AIK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Örgryte3
AIK4Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Örgryte3AIK4Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 71% | 29% |
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
X-2
17%
1-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-1
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score