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Sirius vs Häcken 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
SiriusSirius

0–3

HäckenHäcken
0.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Sirius would usually take 1.1 points and Häcken 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.

Sirius −1.1 pts vs chancesHäcken +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sirius vs Häcken stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Häcken had more than twice the shots on target

Sirius

Häcken

2

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

3

4

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

1

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Sirius and Häcken ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Sirius win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sirius vs Häcken — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius to win

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Sirius Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Häcken Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Häcken 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sirius vs Häcken 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sirius vs Häcken. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
SiriusSirius0
HäckenHäcken3

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

155%
X22%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sirius17%83%44%56%
Häcken39%61%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sirius71%29%88%12%
Häcken89%11%97%3%

1st Half

139%
X39%
221%

1st Score

158%
X5%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.9%

1-0

9.0%

2-0

8.2%

3-1

6.0%

2-2

5.9%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

5.2%

0-0

4.8%

3-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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