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Sirius vs Malmö FF 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
SiriusSirius

0–1

Malmö FFMalmö FF
1.5Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Sirius would usually take 1.4 points and Malmö FF 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.

Sirius −1.4 pts vs chancesMalmö FF +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sirius vs Malmö FF stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Malmö FF had more than twice the shots on target

Sirius

Malmö FF

2

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

1

7

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Sirius and Malmö FF ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Sirius win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sirius vs Malmö FF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sirius ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Sirius Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sirius 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Malmö FF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Malmö FF 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sirius vs Malmö FF 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sirius vs Malmö FF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
SiriusSirius0
Malmö FFMalmö FF1

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

140%
X24%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sirius24%76%53%47%
Malmö FF27%73%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sirius77%23%91%9%
Malmö FF80%20%92%8%

1st Half

132%
X39%
228%

1st Score

152%
X4%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

20%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.2%

2-2

7.2%

1-0

6.5%

0-1

5.8%

2-0

5.2%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.6%

0-0

4.2%

1-3

4.2%

3-2

3.8%

2-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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