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GAIS vs Brommapojkarna 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
GAISGAIS

4–0

BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna
1.8Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances GAIS would usually take 2.1 points and Brommapojkarna 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: GAIS.

GAIS +0.9 pts vs chancesBrommapojkarna −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

GAIS vs Brommapojkarna stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

GAIS had more than twice the shots on target

GAIS

Brommapojkarna

9

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

0

7

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

3

54%

Possession

46%

The match between GAIS and Brommapojkarna ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a GAIS win with 53% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Örgryte – GAIS prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

GAIS vs Brommapojkarna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

GAIS to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: GAIS ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

GAIS Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

GAIS 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: GAIS 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Brommapojkarna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brommapojkarna 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

GAIS vs Brommapojkarna 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for GAIS vs Brommapojkarna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
GAISGAIS4
BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna0

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

153%
X25%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
GAIS20%80%51%49%
Brommapojkarna43%57%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
GAIS77%23%91%9%
Brommapojkarna93%7%98%2%

1st Half

138%
X41%
221%

1st Score

161%
X7%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.8%

1-1

11.7%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

9.4%

0-0

7.2%

0-1

7.0%

1-2

5.5%

3-1

5.4%

3-0

5.2%

2-2

4.7%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Örgryte – GAIS prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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