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Sirius vs Degerfors 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
SiriusSirius

2–0

DegerforsDegerfors
1.8Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Sirius would usually take 1.6 points and Degerfors 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.

Sirius +1.5 pts vs chancesDegerfors −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sirius vs Degerfors stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sirius

Degerfors

8

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

1

7

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

1

43%

Possession

58%

The match between Sirius and Degerfors ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sirius win with 58% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sirius vs Degerfors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius to win

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sirius Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sirius 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Degerfors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Degerfors 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sirius vs Degerfors 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sirius vs Degerfors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
SiriusSirius2
DegerforsDegerfors0

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

158%
X21%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sirius15%85%40%60%
Degerfors41%59%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sirius66%34%84%16%
Degerfors90%10%97%3%

1st Half

144%
X37%
218%

1st Score

166%
X4%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.4%

1-0

7.9%

2-0

7.9%

3-1

6.9%

3-0

5.8%

2-2

5.8%

1-2

5.7%

0-1

4.3%

3-2

4.2%

0-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sirius – Elfsborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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