AIK vs Mjällby 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 18)
AIK1–1
MjällbyOn these chances AIK would usually take 1.7 points and Mjällby 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: AIK.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →AIK vs Mjällby stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Level on shots on target
AIK
Mjällby
7
Shots on target
7
6
Big chances
5
9
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
72%
Possession
28%
AIK vs Mjällby — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AIK to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
AIK ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
AIK 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Mjällby 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,605 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
AIK vs Mjällby 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for AIK vs Mjällby. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
AIK1
Mjällby1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
AIK1Mjällby1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 33% | 67% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AIK vs Mjällby — Recent Form
AIK have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Mjällby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
AIKMjällbyOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MjällbyAIKBoth Teams to Score
MjällbyAIKOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MjällbyAIKOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MjällbyAIKFirst Half Result
MjällbyAIKCorrect Score
MjällbyAIK