FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 28)
FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli — Bundesliga Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 28 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
St. Pauli+24.7% Strongly above implied probability
FC Union Berlin-25.3% Below implied probability
┊ 44.6% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
St. Pauli-31.6% Below implied probability
FC Union Berlin+2.8% Above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
St. Pauli-31.1% Below implied probability
FC Union Berlin+3.5% Above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
St. Pauli+30.4% Strongly above implied probability
FC Union Berlin-5.1% Near implied probability
┊ 62.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
St. Pauli+5.2% Above implied probability
FC Union Berlin-14% Below implied probability
┊ 38.7% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
St. PauliFC Union BerlinOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for FC Union Berlin and St. Pauli across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for St. Pauli hit at 82% accuracy — that's 30.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 62.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for St. Pauli sit 31.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 15% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 12% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
 | 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 15% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 12% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli — Prediction Form & Streaks
St. Pauli have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. FC Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading St. Pauli well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
St. PauliFC Union BerlinBoth Teams To Score
St. PauliFC Union BerlinOver/Under 2.5 Goals
St. PauliFC Union BerlinOver/Under 3.5 Goals
St. PauliFC Union BerlinFirst Half Result
St. PauliFC Union BerlinCorrect Score
St. PauliFC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin & St. Pauli Teams in Best Form
St. PauliFC Union Berlin