1. Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers

Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers 6-1 Score & Prediction Review

CAF Champions League - Season 2026/2027 1st Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers stats: how the match was played

CAF Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Simba had more than twice the shots on target

Simba

Mighty Mukuru Wanderers

7

Shots on target

1

2

Corners

0

0

Yellow cards

0

The match between Simba and Mighty Mukuru Wanderers ended 6-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Simba win with 62% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · CAF Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Simba to win

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Simba ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Simba Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Simba 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Simba 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Mighty Mukuru Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mighty Mukuru Wanderers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 89%Bookmakers 93%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers 6-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Simba vs Mighty Mukuru Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
SimbaSimba6
Mighty Mukuru WanderersMighty Mukuru Wanderers1

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 19%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

162%
X25%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Simba21%79%54%46%
Mighty Mukuru Wanderers59%41%89%11%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Simba79%21%92%8%
Mighty Mukuru Wanderers98%2%99%1%

1st Half

144%
X42%
214%

1st Score

163%
X11%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

22%

X-X

16%

2-2

8%

1-X

5%

X-2

5%

2-X

3%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

18.9%

2-0

13.9%

0-0

11.4%

1-1

10.4%

2-1

8.3%

3-0

7.0%

0-1

6.9%

3-1

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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