Brick wall
4/6Manchester City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 (league 24%).
Carabao Cup Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Carabao Cup match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 8 October 2026.
Carabao Cup Predictions by Market
Full-Time Result
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
63%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
62%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Carabao Cup current prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 51%, BTTS 63%, Over/Under 2.5 58%, Over/Under 3.5 62%, correct score 14%.
Carabao Cup stats compared with other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 91 matchesGoals a match
3.1
xG a match
2.89
Corners a match
9.77
Cards a match
3.25
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 0 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Carabao Cup: the stats that stand out
The Carabao Cup teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games4/6Low-scoring
2/6Arsenal games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 6 (league 56%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →No upcoming football predictions for Carabao Cup England
There are currently no upcoming matches scheduled in the Carabao Cup. Our football predictions for this league will resume as soon as new fixtures are available. Check back shortly for the latest match forecasts and betting insights.
Carabao Cup Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Carabao Cup this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
76 matches
39.5%
Season (76) · 39.5% vs 45.0%
Season
−5.5
±10.1
30 days (16) · 50.0% vs 42.2%
30 days
+7.8
±21.3
Draws
76 matches
17.1%
Season (76) · 17.1% vs 22.4%
Season
−5.3
±9.3
30 days (16) · 6.3% vs 21.5%
30 days
−15.3
±20.0
Away wins
76 matches
43.4%
Season (76) · 43.4% vs 32.6%More than expected
Season
+10.9
±9.6More than expected
30 days (16) · 43.8% vs 36.3%
30 days
+7.5
±20.6
Over 2.5 goals
76 matches
56.6%
Season (76) · 56.6% vs 56.7%
Season
−0.1
±11.0
30 days (16) · 75.0% vs 62.1%
30 days
+12.9
±23.5
Both teams scored
76 matches
55.3%
Season (76) · 55.3% vs 54.2%
Season
+1.1
±11.1
30 days (16) · 56.3% vs 56.8%
30 days
−0.5
±24.0
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
76 matches
38.2%
Season (76) · 38.2% vs 34.9%
Season
+3.3
±10.6
30 days (16) · 62.5% vs 40.8%
30 days
+21.7
±23.8
Home side ahead at half-time
76 matches
23.7%
Season (76) · 23.7% vs 35.6%Fewer than expected
Season
−11.9
±10.2Fewer than expected
30 days (16) · 31.3% vs 34.9%
30 days
−3.7
±21.9
Level at half-time
76 matches
42.1%
Season (76) · 42.1% vs 38.5%
Season
+3.6
±10.9
30 days (16) · 43.8% vs 36.0%
30 days
+7.7
±23.4
Away side ahead at half-time
76 matches
34.2%
Season (76) · 34.2% vs 26.0%
Season
+8.3
±9.4
30 days (16) · 25.0% vs 29.1%
30 days
−4.1
±20.7
Home team scored 2+
76 matches
36.8%
Season (76) · 36.8% vs 47.4%Fewer than expected
Season
−10.6
±10.5Fewer than expected
30 days (16) · 56.3% vs 49.3%
30 days
+7.0
±22.4
Away team scored 2+
76 matches
44.7%
Season (76) · 44.7% vs 36.6%
Season
+8.1
±10.2
30 days (16) · 50.0% vs 42.5%
30 days
+7.5
±22.3
Outside the normal range this season: Away wins 43.4% vs 32.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 40); Home side ahead at half-time 23.7% vs 35.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 45); Home team scored 2+ 36.8% vs 47.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 20).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 76 | 39.5% | 45.0% | −5.5 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 16 | 50.0% | 42.2% | +7.8 | ±21.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 76 | 17.1% | 22.4% | −5.3 | ±9.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 16 | 6.3% | 21.5% | −15.3 | ±20.0 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 76 | 43.4% | 32.6% | +10.9 | ±9.6 | More than expected |
| Away wins | 30 days | 16 | 43.8% | 36.3% | +7.5 | ±20.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 76 | 56.6% | 56.7% | −0.1 | ±11.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 75.0% | 62.1% | +12.9 | ±23.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 76 | 55.3% | 54.2% | +1.1 | ±11.1 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 16 | 56.3% | 56.8% | −0.5 | ±24.0 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 76 | 38.2% | 34.9% | +3.3 | ±10.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 62.5% | 40.8% | +21.7 | ±23.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 76 | 23.7% | 35.6% | −11.9 | ±10.2 | Fewer than expected |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 31.3% | 34.9% | −3.7 | ±21.9 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 76 | 42.1% | 38.5% | +3.6 | ±10.9 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 43.8% | 36.0% | +7.7 | ±23.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 76 | 34.2% | 26.0% | +8.3 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 25.0% | 29.1% | −4.1 | ±20.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 76 | 36.8% | 47.4% | −10.6 | ±10.5 | Fewer than expected |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 56.3% | 49.3% | +7.0 | ±22.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 76 | 44.7% | 36.6% | +8.1 | ±10.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 50.0% | 42.5% | +7.5 | ±22.3 | Normal range |
About Carabao Cup
The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
The Carabao Cup, also known as the EFL Cup, is an annual football competition in England. It features teams from the Premier League and the English Football League. The Carabao Cup provides an opportunity for lower-league clubs to compete against top-tier teams. The final of the Carabao Cup is held at Wembley Stadium and is a highly anticipated event in the English football calendar.