Brick wall
4/6Manchester City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 (league 24%).
Carabao Cup Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Carabao Cup match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 29 October 2026.
Carabao Cup Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · 8th Finals
Full-Time Result
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
63%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
62%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Carabao Cup 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 51%, BTTS 63%, Over/Under 2.5 58%, Over/Under 3.5 62%, correct score 14%.
Carabao Cup stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 93 matchesGoals a match
3.08
xG a match
2.89
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 0 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Carabao Cup: the stats that stand out
The Carabao Cup teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games4/6Low-scoring
2/7Arsenal games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 7 (league 55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Carabao Cup England
Free predictions for today's Carabao Cup matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Everton–
Newcastle United–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Everton–Newcastle United–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
134%
X23%
242%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
 | 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 56% | 44% |
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Carabao Cup Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027
How often each result has happened in Carabao Cup this season, next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal range
Result · happened
◀ fewer −15◀ fewer than expected · −15 pts odds expected+15 more ▶+15 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
83 matches
39.8%
83 matches · odds said 44.5%
−4.7
±9.7
normal range ±9.7 pts
Draws
83 matches
19.3%
83 matches · odds said 22.3%
−3.1
±8.9
normal range ±8.9 pts
Away wins
83 matches
41.0%
83 matches · odds said 33.2%
+7.8
±9.2
normal range ±9.2 pts
Over 2.5 goals
83 matches
55.4%
83 matches · odds said 57.2%
−1.8
±10.5
normal range ±10.5 pts
Both teams scored
83 matches
55.4%
83 matches · odds said 54.4%
+1.0
±10.6
normal range ±10.6 pts
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
83 matches
37.3%
83 matches · odds said 35.4%
+2.0
±10.2
normal range ±10.2 pts
Home side ahead at half-time
83 matches
26.5%
83 matches · odds said 35.3%
−8.8
±9.8
normal range ±9.8 pts
Level at half-time
83 matches
41.0%
83 matches · odds said 38.3%
+2.7
±10.4
normal range ±10.4 pts
Away side ahead at half-time
83 matches
32.5%
83 matches · odds said 26.4%
+6.1
±9.0
normal range ±9.0 pts
Home team scored 2+
83 matches
38.6%
83 matches · odds said 47.3%
−8.8
±10.0
normal range ±10.0 pts
Away team scored 2+
83 matches
43.4%
83 matches · odds said 37.3%
+6.0
±9.8
normal range ±9.8 pts
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 83 | 39.8% | 44.5% | −4.7 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 83 | 19.3% | 22.3% | −3.1 | ±8.9 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 83 | 41.0% | 33.2% | +7.8 | ±9.2 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 83 | 55.4% | 57.2% | −1.8 | ±10.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 83 | 55.4% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ±10.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 83 | 37.3% | 35.4% | +2.0 | ±10.2 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 83 | 26.5% | 35.3% | −8.8 | ±9.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 83 | 41.0% | 38.3% | +2.7 | ±10.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 83 | 32.5% | 26.4% | +6.1 | ±9.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 83 | 38.6% | 47.3% | −8.8 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 83 | 43.4% | 37.3% | +6.0 | ±9.8 | Normal range |
Carabao Cup last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 22–Oct 29 · 7 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Fulham0-1
Crystal PalaceSmash-and-grabCrystal Palace beat Fulham 1-0 despite fewer chances (xG 0.6 vs 1.7).
UpsetBookmakers gave Crystal Palace 19.4% to win at kick-off.
Sunderland3-2
BrentfordSmash-and-grabSunderland beat Brentford 3-2 despite fewer chances (xG 0.8 vs 1.8).
UpsetBookmakers gave Sunderland 18.8% to win at kick-off.
Fleetwood Town1-1ArsenalUpsetBookmakers gave the draw 6% at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Carabao Cup
The Carabao Cup, also known as the EFL Cup, is an annual football competition in England. It features teams from the Premier League and the English Football League. The Carabao Cup provides an opportunity for lower-league clubs to compete against top-tier teams. The final of the Carabao Cup is held at Wembley Stadium and is a highly anticipated event in the English football calendar.