Brick wall
4/6Manchester City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 (league 24%).
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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)
Brick wall
Manchester City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 (league 24%).
4/6Clean sheets · Manchester City
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Carabao Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester City to win
Our model 65%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 296 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.9% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester City ahead at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Manchester City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester City 2+ goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,666 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Manchester City–
Brighton & Hove Albion–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Manchester City–Brighton & Hove Albion–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Full Time
165%
X17%
218%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 11% | 89% | 27% | 73% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 62% | 38% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 31% | 69% |
 | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 75% | 25% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
147%
X33%
220%
1st Score
165%
X2%
233%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
44%
X-1
16%
2-2
11%
X-X
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: the stats that stand out
Carabao Cup
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Manchester City: brick wall, fast starters and always on the scoresheet
4/6Fast starters
5/6Manchester City scored first in 5 of their last 6 (league 50%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/6Manchester City scored in all of their last 6 (league 24% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Carabao Cup
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Carabao Cup gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Manchester City games less often than the Carabao Cup average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Manchester City3 of 6
BTTSleague 55%
Manchester City2 of 6
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 93 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion corners, cards and goal times
Carabao Cup
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.9
- Cards: league 1.7
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Manchester City1/1
Brighton & Hove Albion0/1
Both Teams to Score
Manchester City0/1
Brighton & Hove Albion1/1
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Manchester City1/1
Brighton & Hove Albion1/1
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Manchester City0/1
Brighton & Hove Albion0/1
First Half Result
Manchester City1/1
Brighton & Hove Albion0/1
Correct Score
Manchester City0/1
Brighton & Hove Albion0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction