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Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027

Fair result

Fleetwood Town

4–0

Shrewsbury Town

0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Fleetwood Town would usually take 1.2 points and Shrewsbury Town 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Fleetwood Town.

Fleetwood Town +1.8 pts vs chancesShrewsbury Town −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town stats: how the match was played

Carabao Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Fleetwood Town

Shrewsbury Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury Town ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Fleetwood Town win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Arsenal prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town to win

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Shrewsbury Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Carabao Cup - England

Fleetwood Town4

Shrewsbury Town0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Carabao Cup - England

Fleetwood Town4

Shrewsbury Town0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

141%

X28%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%	67%	33%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	64%	36%	86%	14%	95%	5%
	38%	62%	72%	28%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	64%	36%
	38%	62%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	95%	5%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

130%

X48%

222%

1st Score

151%

X11%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

11.8%

0-0

10.5%

0-1

10.0%

2-1

8.1%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

6.4%

0-2

5.1%

2-2

4.3%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Arsenal prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).