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Leyton Orient vs Bradford City 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round (Knock Out)

Fair result
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient

1–3

Bradford CityBradford City
1.5Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Leyton Orient would usually take 1.0 points and Bradford City 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bradford City.

Leyton Orient −1.0 pts vs chancesBradford City +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Leyton Orient vs Bradford City stats: how the match was played

Carabao Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bradford City had more than twice the shots on target

Leyton Orient

Bradford City

4

Shots on target

9

2

Big chances

6

8

Corners

12

3

Yellow cards

1

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Leyton Orient and Bradford City ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Bradford City win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bradford City – Peterborough United prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Leyton Orient vs Bradford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Leyton Orient Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leyton Orient 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Bradford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Leyton Orient vs Bradford City 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Leyton Orient vs Bradford City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Carabao Cup - England
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1
Bradford CityBradford City3

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

131%
X24%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Leyton Orient36%64%67%33%
Bradford City25%75%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Leyton Orient86%14%96%4%
Bradford City78%22%90%10%

1st Half

125%
X41%
234%

1st Score

143%
X6%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

19%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

1-2

8.9%

0-1

8.8%

1-0

7.2%

0-2

7.1%

2-1

7.1%

0-0

6.5%

2-2

5.4%

2-0

4.6%

1-3

4.2%

0-3

3.9%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bradford City – Peterborough United prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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