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Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round (Knock Out)

Fair result
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town

1–0

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
1.3Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Fleetwood Town would usually take 1.6 points and Sheffield United 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sheffield United.

Fleetwood Town +1.4 pts vs chancesSheffield United −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United stats: how the match was played

Carabao Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Fleetwood Town

Sheffield United

5

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

1

4

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

1

33%

Possession

67%

The match between Fleetwood Town and Sheffield United ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Sheffield United win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Arsenal prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,841 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sheffield United ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,225 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Sheffield United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sheffield United 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 356 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Carabao Cup - England
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1
Sheffield UnitedSheffield United0

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

132%
X27%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fleetwood Town36%64%70%30%
Sheffield United28%72%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Fleetwood Town89%11%97%3%
Sheffield United84%16%95%5%

1st Half

124%
X42%
234%

1st Score

140%
X8%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

17%

X-X

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

11.1%

1-0

9.2%

1-2

8.5%

0-0

8.3%

2-1

7.5%

0-2

7.3%

2-0

5.1%

2-2

4.6%

0-3

3.8%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Arsenal prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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