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RB Leipzig vs Lens Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)
RB Leipzig vs Lens — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig to win
Our track record
In 3,610 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 415 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 65.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,167 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 196 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.3% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Lens 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,576 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
RB Leipzig vs Lens — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for RB Leipzig vs Lens. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
RB Leipzig–
Lens–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
RB Leipzig–Lens–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 68% | 32% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 47% | 53% |
 | 30% | 70% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
11%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB LeipzigLensBoth Teams to Score
RB LeipzigLensOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RB LeipzigLensOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RB LeipzigLensFirst Half Result
RB LeipzigLensCorrect Score
RB LeipzigLens