1. Tre Fiori vs Larne

Tre Fiori vs Larne 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Tre Fiori vs Larne stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Larne had more than twice the shots on target

Tre Fiori

Larne

0

Shots on target

4

2

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

2

The match between Tre Fiori and Larne ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Larne win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Tre Fiori vs Larne — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Larne to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Larne ahead at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Tre Fiori Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tre Fiori 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Larne Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Larne 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Larne 2+ goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tre Fiori vs Larne 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tre Fiori vs Larne. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Tre FioriTre Fiori0
LarneLarne1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

132%
X26%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tre Fiori36%64%69%31%
Larne28%72%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tre Fiori89%11%96%4%
Larne83%17%94%6%

1st Half

123%
X45%
232%

1st Score

141%
X8%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-2

17%

X-X

16%

1-1

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

10.6%

1-0

9.0%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.0%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

6.8%

2-0

5.5%

2-2

4.8%

1-3

4.0%

0-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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