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Tre Fiori vs Larne 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Tre Fiori vs Larne stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Larne had more than twice the shots on target
Tre Fiori
Larne
0
Shots on target
4
2
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
2
Tre Fiori vs Larne — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Larne to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Larne ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Tre Fiori 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Larne 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Larne 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Tre Fiori vs Larne 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tre Fiori vs Larne. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% | |
| 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% | |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-2
17%
X-X
16%
1-1
15%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score