1. The New Saints vs Sabah

The New Saints vs Sabah 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

The New Saints vs Sabah stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sabah had clearly more shots on target

The New Saints

Sabah

4

Shots on target

6

3

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

1

The match between The New Saints and Sabah ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a The New Saints win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sabah – Borussia Dortmund prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

The New Saints vs Sabah — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

The New Saints to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sabah to win.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 19%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

The New Saints ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sabah ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 15%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

The New Saints Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

The New Saints 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: The New Saints 0–1 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Sabah Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sabah 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sabah 2+ goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

The New Saints vs Sabah 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for The New Saints vs Sabah. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
The New SaintsThe New Saints1
SabahSabah2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

149%
X22%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
The New Saints21%79%50%50%
Sabah36%64%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
The New Saints74%26%89%11%
Sabah87%13%96%4%

1st Half

138%
X37%
225%

1st Score

158%
X5%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

13%

X-2

8%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

7.1%

1-2

6.8%

0-1

6.1%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

0-0

4.9%

3-0

4.8%

0-2

4.1%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sabah – Borussia Dortmund prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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