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Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris

Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kauno Žalgiris had more than twice the shots on target

Drita

Kauno Žalgiris

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Drita and Kauno Žalgiris ended 2-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Kauno Žalgiris win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kauno Žalgiris to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Drita to win.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Drita Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Drita 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Kauno Žalgiris Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kauno Žalgiris 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Drita vs Kauno Žalgiris. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Drita2

Kauno Žalgiris3

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Drita2

Kauno Žalgiris3

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

127%

X23%

250%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	51%	60%	40%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	40%	60%	71%	29%	89%	11%	96%	4%
	24%	76%	54%	46%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	40%	60%	71%	29%
	24%	76%	54%	46%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	96%	4%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

118%

X42%

240%

1st Score

133%

X7%

260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

1-1

11%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

10.8%

1-1

10.6%

0-2

9.0%

1-2

8.8%

0-0

7.0%

1-0

7.0%

2-1

6.0%

0-3

5.0%

1-3

4.8%

2-2

4.6%

2-0

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score