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Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Celje had more than twice the shots on target
Celje
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
4
4
Yellow cards
3
Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Celje to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Celje ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Celje 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Celje 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Celje2
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Celje2Egnatia Rrogozhinë2Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
 | 39% | 61% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
18%
X-X
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score