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Levski Sofia vs Kairat 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Levski Sofia vs Kairat stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Levski Sofia had more than twice the shots on target
Levski Sofia
Kairat
4
Shots on target
0
7
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
0
Levski Sofia vs Kairat — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Levski Sofia to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Levski Sofia 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Levski Sofia 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Kairat 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Levski Sofia vs Kairat 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levski Sofia vs Kairat. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Levski Sofia1
Kairat0Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Levski Sofia1Kairat0Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18% | 82% | 47% | 53% |
 | 44% | 56% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
20%
X-X
13%
2-2
13%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score