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Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Even on chances
Bodø / Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
2.5
Chances (xG)
2.3
9
Shots on target
5
5
Big chances
6
10
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
3
70%
Possession
30%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Bodø / Glimt3
Union Saint-Gilloise2Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Bodø / Glimt3Union Saint-Gilloise2Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
 | 49% | 51% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
20%
X-X
11%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score