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Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Fair result
Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

1–1

CeljeCelje
1.2Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Slovan Bratislava would usually take 1.7 points and Celje 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Slovan Bratislava.

Slovan Bratislava −0.7 pts vs chancesCelje 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Slovan Bratislava vs Celje stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Celje had more than twice the shots on target

Slovan Bratislava

Celje

2

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

0

4

Corners

0

2

Yellow cards

2

49%

Possession

52%

The match between Slovan Bratislava and Celje ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Slovan Bratislava win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roma – Slovan Bratislava prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Slovan Bratislava vs Celje — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovan Bratislava to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Slovan Bratislava Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovan Bratislava 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Celje Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celje 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Slovan Bratislava vs Celje. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Champions League - Europe
Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava1
CeljeCelje1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

147%
X25%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Slovan Bratislava21%79%50%50%
Celje34%66%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Slovan Bratislava76%24%90%10%
Celje86%14%95%5%

1st Half

133%
X43%
224%

1st Score

157%
X5%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

8.3%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.9%

2-2

6.3%

0-1

6.0%

0-0

5.2%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roma – Slovan Bratislava prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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