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Bodø / Glimt vs NEC 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)
Bodø / Glimt3–0
NECOn these chances Bodø / Glimt would usually take 2.7 points and NEC 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Bodø / Glimt.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Bodø / Glimt vs NEC stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Bodø / Glimt had more than twice the shots on target
Bodø / Glimt
NEC
9
Shots on target
2
8
Big chances
1
4
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
81%
Possession
19%
Bodø / Glimt vs NEC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
NEC 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bodø / Glimt vs NEC 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bodø / Glimt vs NEC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Bodø / Glimt3
NEC0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Bodø / Glimt3NEC0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 36% | 64% |
| 46% | 54% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 39% | 81% | 19% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
20%
2-2
10%
X-X
9%
X-2
5%
2-1
5%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score