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Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

0–1

Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
0.9Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Zbrojovka Brno would usually take 0.7 points and Slovan Liberec 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Zbrojovka Brno.

Zbrojovka Brno −0.7 pts vs chancesSlovan Liberec +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Slovan Liberec had clearly more shots on target

Zbrojovka Brno

Slovan Liberec

4

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

5

2

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

3

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Zbrojovka Brno and Slovan Liberec ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Zbrojovka Brno win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Slovácko – Zbrojovka Brno prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Zbrojovka Brno Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Slovan Liberec Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovan Liberec 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno0
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

143%
X28%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Zbrojovka Brno27%73%59%41%
Slovan Liberec37%63%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Zbrojovka Brno83%17%94%6%
Slovan Liberec89%11%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X44%
223%

1st Score

151%
X9%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.0%

0-0

8.7%

0-1

8.4%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

5.3%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Slovácko – Zbrojovka Brno prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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