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Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

1–0

Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové
1.4Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Zbrojovka Brno would usually take 1.7 points and Hradec Králové 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hradec Králové.

Zbrojovka Brno +1.3 pts vs chancesHradec Králové −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Zbrojovka Brno

Hradec Králové

4

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

0

3

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

0

39%

Possession

62%

The match between Zbrojovka Brno and Hradec Králové ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Zbrojovka Brno win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hradec Králové to win.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Zbrojovka Brno Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Hradec Králové Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hradec Králové 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1
Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové0

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

153%
X26%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Zbrojovka Brno20%80%52%48%
Hradec Králové44%56%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Zbrojovka Brno78%22%92%8%
Hradec Králové93%7%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X43%
218%

1st Score

159%
X8%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

12.4%

1-1

11.9%

2-1

10.3%

2-0

9.8%

0-0

7.6%

0-1

6.6%

3-0

5.6%

1-2

5.5%

2-2

4.8%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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