1. Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result
TepliceTeplice

1–1

Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
2.3Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Teplice would usually take 1.6 points and Sigma Olomouc 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sigma Olomouc.

Teplice −0.6 pts vs chancesSigma Olomouc −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Teplice

Sigma Olomouc

7

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

3

7

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

0

0

Red cards

1

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Teplice and Sigma Olomouc ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Sigma Olomouc win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sigma Olomouc to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,854 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Teplice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Teplice 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Sigma Olomouc Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sigma Olomouc 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
TepliceTeplice1
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

130%
X28%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Teplice35%65%69%31%
Sigma Olomouc26%74%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Teplice89%11%97%3%
Sigma Olomouc82%18%93%7%

1st Half

126%
X45%
229%

1st Score

146%
X8%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

0-1

10.1%

1-2

9.0%

1-0

8.8%

0-0

8.0%

2-1

7.5%

0-2

6.7%

2-2

5.5%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

3.9%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc — Recent Form

Sigma Olomouc have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Teplice have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
W
D
L
W
W
TepliceTeplice
L
D
W
L
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

TepliceTeplice
4/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
3/5

Both Teams to Score

TepliceTeplice
2/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

TepliceTeplice
1/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

TepliceTeplice
4/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
4/5

First Half Result

TepliceTeplice
2/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
0/5

Correct Score

TepliceTeplice
1/5
Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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