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Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos

Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

The match between Deportivo Recoleta and Santos ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Santos win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos — Copa Sudamericana Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 4 · Group Stage

Full-Time Result →

Santos

20%(1/5)

-55.2% Below implied probability

Deportivo Recoleta

0%(0/6)

-100% Below implied probability

┊ 44.6% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Santos

0%(0/5)

-100% Below implied probability

Deportivo Recoleta

33.3%(2/6)

-39% Below implied probability

┊ 54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Santos

80%(4/5)

+47.3% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo Recoleta

83.3%(5/6)

+53.4% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.3% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Santos

80%(4/5)

+33.3% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo Recoleta

83.3%(5/6)

+38.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 60% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Santos

60%(3/5)

+56.7% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo Recoleta

50%(3/6)

+30.5% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 38.3% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Santos

40%(2/5)

Deportivo Recoleta

50%(3/6)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Deportivo Recoleta and Santos across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Santos hit at 60% accuracy — that's 56.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Deportivo Recoleta sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	35%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	67%	33%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	26%
X	46%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	6%	14%
2-2	2-X	X-2
20%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	44%
X	9%
2	47%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
35%	65%	68%	32%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
88%	12%	96%	4%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0	2-2	1-3
12.6%	11.3%	10.5%	9.5%	7.7%	7.2%	7.0%	6.1%	4.4%	3.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	67%	33%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	26%
X	46%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	6%	14%
2-2	2-X	X-2
20%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	44%
X	9%
2	47%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
35%	65%	68%	32%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
88%	12%	96%	4%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
12.6%	11.3%	10.5%	9.5%	7.7%	7.2%	7.0%	6.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	67%	33%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	26%
X	46%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	6%	14%
2-2	2-X	X-2
20%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	44%
X	9%
2	47%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
35%	65%	68%	32%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
88%	12%	96%	4%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0	2-2	1-3
12.6%	11.3%	10.5%	9.5%	7.7%	7.2%	7.0%	6.1%	4.4%	3.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	67%	33%	88%	12%

1st Half


1	26%
X	46%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	6%	14%
2-2	2-X	X-2
20%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	44%
X	9%
2	47%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
35%	65%	68%	32%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
88%	12%	96%	4%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
12.6%	11.3%	10.5%	9.5%	7.7%	7.2%	7.0%	6.1%

0 in a row

Deportivo Recoleta

0 in a row