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Parma vs Cremonese

Parma vs Cremonese 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Coppa Italia - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)

Fair result

Parma

0–2

Cremonese

0.8Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Parma would usually take 0.8 points and Cremonese 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Parma.

Parma −0.8 pts vs chancesCremonese +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Parma vs Cremonese stats: how the match was played

Coppa Italia

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Cremonese had more than twice the shots on target

Parma

Cremonese

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Parma and Cremonese ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Parma win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Parma vs Cremonese — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Coppa Italia

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Parma to win

Wrong

Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Parma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Parma 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Cremonese Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cremonese 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Parma vs Cremonese 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Parma vs Cremonese. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Coppa Italia - Italy

Parma0

Cremonese2

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Coppa Italia - Italy

Parma0

Cremonese2

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

139%

X29%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	36%	64%	61%	39%	70%	30%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	36%	64%	61%	39%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	38%	62%	73%	27%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	38%	62%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

128%

X48%

224%

1st Score

148%

X12%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

20%

2-2

19%

X-1

15%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.8%

1-1

12.3%

0-0

12.1%

0-1

11.5%

2-1

7.5%

2-0

7.1%

1-2

6.3%

0-2

5.5%

2-2

3.9%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score