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Sochaux vs Lens 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Coupe de France - Season 2025/2026 16th Finals (Knock Out)

Fair result
SochauxSochaux

0–3

LensLens
0.7Chances (xG)2.9

On these chances Sochaux would usually take 0.3 points and Lens 2.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lens.

Sochaux −0.3 pts vs chancesLens +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sochaux vs Lens stats: how the match was played

Coupe de France

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lens had more than twice the shots on target

Sochaux

Lens

0

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

9

4

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

0

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Sochaux and Lens ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lens win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Sochaux vs Lens — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Coupe de France

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lens to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lens ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Sochaux Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sochaux 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,561 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Lens Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lens 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lens 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 605 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sochaux vs Lens 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sochaux vs Lens. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Coupe de France - France
SochauxSochaux0
LensLens3

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

127%
X26%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sochaux38%62%73%27%
Lens25%75%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sochaux91%9%98%2%
Lens82%18%94%6%

1st Half

122%
X42%
236%

1st Score

136%
X8%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-2

19%

X-X

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

12.0%

1-1

11.9%

1-2

9.7%

1-0

8.5%

0-0

8.4%

0-2

8.1%

2-1

6.3%

2-2

4.9%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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