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Amora vs UD da Serra

Amora vs UD da Serra 3-4 Score & Prediction Review

Taça De Portugal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)

Amora vs UD da Serra stats: how the match was played

Taça De Portugal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

UD da Serra had more than twice the shots on target

Amora

UD da Serra

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Amora and UD da Serra ended 3-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an UD da Serra win with 39% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Amora vs UD da Serra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Taça De Portugal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UD da Serra to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Amora to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 20%

Our track record

In 1,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Amora Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Amora 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

UD da Serra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UD da Serra 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Amora vs UD da Serra 3-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Amora vs UD da Serra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Taça De Portugal - Portugal

Amora3

UD da Serra4

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Taça De Portugal - Portugal

Amora3

UD da Serra4

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

134%

X27%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	66%	34%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	37%	63%	69%	31%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	32%	68%	64%	36%	85%	15%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	69%	31%
	32%	68%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	85%	15%	94%	6%

1st Half

123%

X49%

228%

1st Score

143%

X10%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

15%

X-1

14%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

10.8%

1-0

10.3%

0-0

9.6%

0-2

8.0%

2-1

6.9%

1-2

6.8%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

4.1%

1-3

3.2%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Amora vs UD da Serra — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Amora

1/1

UD da Serra

1/1

Both Teams to Score

Amora

0/1

UD da Serra

0/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Amora

0/1

UD da Serra

0/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Amora

0/1

UD da Serra

0/1

First Half Result

Amora

0/1

UD da Serra

0/1

Correct Score

Amora

0/1

UD da Serra

0/1

correct predictionwrong prediction