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Amora vs UD da Serra 3-4 Score & Prediction Review
Taça De Portugal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)
Amora vs UD da Serra stats: how the match was played
Taça De Portugal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
UD da Serra had more than twice the shots on target
Amora
UD da Serra
4
Shots on target
9
7
Corners
5
0
Yellow cards
0
Amora vs UD da Serra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Taça De Portugal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
UD da Serra to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Amora to win.
Our track record
In 1,534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,352 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Amora 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
UD da Serra 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Amora vs UD da Serra 3-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Amora vs UD da Serra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Amora3
UD da Serra4Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Amora3UD da Serra4Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 37% | 63% | 69% | 31% |
 | 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 85% | 15% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
18%
X-X
18%
X-2
15%
X-1
14%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score