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FC Emmen vs Almere City

FC Emmen vs Almere City 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

FC Emmen

2–1

Almere City

2.2Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances FC Emmen would usually take 1.4 points and Almere City 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Emmen.

FC Emmen +1.6 pts vs chancesAlmere City −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Emmen vs Almere City stats: how the match was played

Eerste Divisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

FC Emmen

Almere City

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between FC Emmen and Almere City ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a FC Emmen win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: RKC Waalwijk – Almere City prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

FC Emmen vs Almere City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Emmen to win

Correct

Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Emmen ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).

FC Emmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Emmen 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Almere City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almere City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Emmen vs Almere City 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Emmen vs Almere City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

FC Emmen2

Almere City1

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 68%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

FC Emmen2

Almere City1

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 68%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

Full Time

143%

X22%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	13%	87%	31%	69%	41%	59%	68%	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	13%	87%	31%	69%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	41%	59%	68%	32%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	48%	52%	72%	28%	87%	13%
	28%	72%	55%	45%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	48%	52%
	28%	72%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	72%	28%	87%	13%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

137%

X35%

228%

1st Score

153%

X3%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

X-X

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

8.7%

2-1

7.9%

2-2

7.5%

1-2

7.3%

1-0

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

2-0

4.8%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

4.5%

1-3

4.3%

2-3

4.0%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Emmen vs Almere City — Recent Form

FC Emmen have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Almere City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

FC Emmen

Almere City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Almere City

3/5

FC Emmen

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Almere City

3/5

FC Emmen

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Almere City

4/5

FC Emmen

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Almere City

3/5

FC Emmen

5/5

First Half Result

Almere City

4/5

FC Emmen

3/5

Correct Score

Almere City

0/5

FC Emmen

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: RKC Waalwijk – Almere City prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).