Brick wall
5/10Almere City kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
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Jong AZ vs Almere City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Jong AZ vs Almere City
3.8goals expected · Eerste Divisie average 3.3
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Jong AZ vs Almere City score prediction
Eerste Divisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.8 goals expected
3.8 goals in total: more goals than a typical Eerste Divisie game (average 3.3).
goals expected
Jong AZ1.8Almere City2.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match Jong AZ vs Almere City will be played on Friday, November 6 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 14 of the Eerste Divisie, played in Netherlands. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Jong AZ vs Almere City, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Jong AZ vs Almere City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Jong AZ vs Almere City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Jong AZ–
Almere City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Jong AZ–Almere City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Full Time
146%
X22%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 11% | 89% | 28% | 72% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 65% | 35% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 43% | 57% |
| 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 84% | 16% |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
140%
X33%
227%
1st Score
153%
X3%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-X
10%
X-2
9%
2-X
7%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Jong AZ vs Almere City: the stats that stand out
Eerste Divisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Almere City: brick wall and fast starters
5/10Fast starters
8/10Almere City scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Jong AZ vs Almere City: attack vs defence
Eerste Divisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eerste Divisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Jong AZ: good attack, weak defence (1.78 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Almere City: good attack, weak defence (1.82 xG, 1.61 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Jong AZ vs Almere City form and luck check
Eerste Divisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Jong AZClinical · +7 goals−0.3
- Almere City+2.0
Last 5 matches
Jong AZW
D
L
W
D
Almere CityL
L
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Jong AZ 11th of 20 · Almere City 3rd of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Jong AZ vs Almere City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eerste Divisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Jong AZ games more often than the Eerste Divisie average (65%), in Almere City games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Jong AZ8 of 10
Almere City7 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Jong AZ9 of 10
Almere City4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 381 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Jong AZ vs Almere City corners, cards and goal times
Eerste Divisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAlmere City score late
Jong AZ
Almere City
5.1
Corners won · league 5.3
4.7
5.5
Corners conceded · league 5.3
6.6
1.2
Cards · league 1.7
1.2
1.5
Opponents' cards · league 1.7
1.3
46%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
29%
31%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
38%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
40%
9%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
10%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Almere City3/5
Jong AZ2/5
Both Teams to Score
Almere City3/5
Jong AZ4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Almere City4/5
Jong AZ3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Almere City3/5
Jong AZ2/5
First Half Result
Almere City4/5
Jong AZ2/5
Correct Score
Almere City0/5
Jong AZ1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction