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Ekstraklasa Predictions & Stats

Ekstraklasa is the top professional football league in Poland. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the I liga. Ekstraklasa is known for its competitive matches and passionate fan base. Legia Warsaw is the most successful club in Ekstraklasa history, having won numerous league titles.

Ekstraklasa Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 26 · Regular Season

Low Edge

Full-Time Result

33%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.9% Implied Probability

-24.9% Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

58%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.9% Implied Probability

+7.7% Above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

-6.8% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

74%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.4% Implied Probability

+18.5% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

41%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.7% Implied Probability

+5.8% Above implied probability

Correct Score

13%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Ekstraklasa matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ekstraklasa currently hit at 13%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Ekstraklasa betting market this season with 74% prediction accuracy — that's 18.5% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 62.4%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ekstraklasa.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions currently sit 24.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 33%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ekstraklasa Full-Time Result bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ekstraklasa football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Ekstraklasa Poland

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Piast Gliwice	30%	71%	64%	36%
Radomiak Radom	32%	68%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	10.3%	9.6%	8.4%	8.2%	8.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	71%	64%	36%
	32%	68%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	10.3%	9.6%	8.4%	8.2%	8.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Motor Lublin	26%	74%	58%	42%
Zagłębie Lubin	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.3%	9.4%	9.0%	7.8%	7.6%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.3%	9.4%	9.0%	7.8%	7.6%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	43%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cracovia Kraków	25%	75%	57%	43%
Katowice	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
12.2%	9.8%	9.3%	8.0%	7.5%	7.1%	7.0%

Full Time


1	43%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
12.2%	9.8%	9.3%	8.0%	7.5%	7.1%	7.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lechia Gdańsk	21%	79%	52%	48%
Pogoń Szczecin	36%	64%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	0-1
11.2%	9.8%	9.6%	7.5%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	36%	64%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	0-1
11.2%	9.8%	9.6%	7.5%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	26%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Jagiellonia Białystok	21%	79%	53%	47%
Wisła Płock	40%	60%	74%	26%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.1%	11.3%	10.3%	8.6%	7.2%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	50%
X	26%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	40%	60%	74%	26%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.1%	11.3%	10.3%	8.6%	7.2%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Korona Kielce	24%	76%	57%	43%
Arka Gdynia	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.0%	7.8%	7.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.0%	7.8%	7.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lech Poznań	18%	82%	45%	55%
Nieciecza	36%	64%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2	3-1
10.2%	10.1%	8.2%	7.2%	6.7%	6.3%	6.2%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	36%	64%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2	3-1
10.2%	10.1%	8.2%	7.2%	6.7%	6.3%	6.2%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Widzew Lodz	29%	71%	63%	37%
Górnik Zabrze	31%	69%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	9.9%	9.2%	8.5%	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	9.9%	9.2%	8.5%	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%

Full Time


1	38%
X	27%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Legia Warszawa	29%	71%	62%	38%
Raków Częstochowa	31%	69%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.5%	9.5%	8.9%	8.9%	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	27%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.5%	9.5%	8.9%	8.9%	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Piast Gliwice	30%	71%	64%	36%
Radomiak Radom	32%	68%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	10.3%	9.6%	8.4%	8.2%	8.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	71%	64%	36%
	32%	68%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	10.3%	9.6%	8.4%	8.2%	8.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Motor Lublin	26%	74%	58%	42%
Zagłębie Lubin	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.3%	9.4%	9.0%	7.8%	7.6%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.3%	9.4%	9.0%	7.8%	7.6%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	43%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cracovia Kraków	25%	75%	57%	43%
Katowice	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
12.2%	9.8%	9.3%	8.0%	7.5%	7.1%	7.0%

Full Time


1	43%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
12.2%	9.8%	9.3%	8.0%	7.5%	7.1%	7.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lechia Gdańsk	21%	79%	52%	48%
Pogoń Szczecin	36%	64%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	0-1
11.2%	9.8%	9.6%	7.5%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	48%
X	25%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	36%	64%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	0-1
11.2%	9.8%	9.6%	7.5%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	26%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Jagiellonia Białystok	21%	79%	53%	47%
Wisła Płock	40%	60%	74%	26%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.1%	11.3%	10.3%	8.6%	7.2%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	50%
X	26%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	40%	60%	74%	26%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.1%	11.3%	10.3%	8.6%	7.2%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Korona Kielce	24%	76%	57%	43%
Arka Gdynia	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.0%	7.8%	7.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	47%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.5%	9.6%	8.0%	7.8%	7.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lech Poznań	18%	82%	45%	55%
Nieciecza	36%	64%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2	3-1
10.2%	10.1%	8.2%	7.2%	6.7%	6.3%	6.2%

Full Time


1	52%
X	23%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	36%	64%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2	3-1
10.2%	10.1%	8.2%	7.2%	6.7%	6.3%	6.2%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Widzew Lodz	29%	71%	63%	37%
Górnik Zabrze	31%	69%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	9.9%	9.2%	8.5%	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%

Full Time


1	38%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.0%	9.9%	9.2%	8.5%	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%

Full Time


1	38%
X	27%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Legia Warszawa	29%	71%	62%	38%
Raków Częstochowa	31%	69%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.5%	9.5%	8.9%	8.9%	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	27%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.5%	9.5%	8.9%	8.9%	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ekstraklasa Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ekstraklasa betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Wisła Płock leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 96% accuracy (24 correct out of 25 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Ekstraklasa bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Ekstraklasa teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Ekstraklasa Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Katowice

64%(16/25)

Pogoń Szczecin

56%(14/25)

Lechia Gdańsk

52%(13/25)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Raków Częstochowa

4 in a row

Pogoń Szczecin

3 in a row

Lech Poznań

1 in a row

Ekstraklasa Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Radomiak Radom

73%(19/26)

Lechia Gdańsk

72%(18/25)

Lech Poznań

68%(17/25)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Nieciecza

3 in a row

Jagiellonia Białystok

2 in a row

Piast Gliwice

2 in a row

Ekstraklasa Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lech Poznań

72%(18/25)

Jagiellonia Białystok

72%(18/25)

Lechia Gdańsk

68%(17/25)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Jagiellonia Białystok

4 in a row

Widzew Lodz

2 in a row

Raków Częstochowa

3 in a row

Ekstraklasa Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Wisła Płock

96%(24/25)

Korona Kielce

84%(21/25)

Cracovia Kraków

80%(20/25)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Pogoń Szczecin

5 in a row

Nieciecza

5 in a row

Wisła Płock

5 in a row

Ekstraklasa First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Radomiak Radom

58%(15/26)

Jagiellonia Białystok

56%(14/25)

Cracovia Kraków

56%(14/25)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Widzew Lodz

4 in a row

Arka Gdynia

3 in a row

Górnik Zabrze

0 in a row

Ekstraklasa Teams in Best Form

Motor Lublin

Lech Poznań

Zagłębie Lubin

Ekstraklasa Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Zagłębie Lubin	26	41	11	8	7	40:30	+10	L L W W W
2 Jagiellonia Białystok	25	41	11	8	6	42:32	+10	W L L D D
3 Lech Poznań	25	41	11	8	6	42:36	+6	W L W W W
4 Górnik Zabrze	25	38	11	5	9	36:32	+4	W D L L D
5 Raków Częstochowa	25	37	11	4	10	34:32	+2	L W L W D